Predictions › United States › Kentucky Wildcats vs Oklahoma Sooners

College FootballSat 17 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Kentucky Wildcats vs Oklahoma Sooners prediction

Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)

Kentucky WildcatsAway

17.3 : 24.8

projected points

Oklahoma SoonersHome

31%Kentucky

69%Oklahoma

Eagle safe pickOklahoma to win

-238

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kentucky Wildcats vs Oklahoma Sooners is Oklahoma Sooners to win, with a 69% chance. We project Kentucky Wildcats 17.3 and Oklahoma Sooners 24.8. Our best bet is Oklahoma to win at -238.

Prediction: Oklahoma Sooners to win
Chance: 69%
Projected score: Kentucky Wildcats 17, Oklahoma Sooners 25
Projected total: 42.1 points
Best bet: Oklahoma to win at -238

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Oklahoma to win

69% chancePrice -2381 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Oklahoma Sooners 69% and Kentucky Wildcats 31%. The bookmakers agree and make Oklahoma Sooners the favourite at -238.
2
Recent form
Oklahoma Sooners won 2 of their last 5 and Kentucky Wildcats won 4 of their last 5. Kentucky Wildcats come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Oklahoma Sooners won 6 of their last 8 games at home. Kentucky Wildcats won 3 of their last 7 on the road.
4
Scoring
Oklahoma Sooners score 24.7 points a game and let in 16.6. Kentucky Wildcats score 26.8 and let in 27.0. Their recent games average 41.3 and 53.8 points in total, and the market line is 41.5.
5
The safest bet
Oklahoma to win has a 69% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kentucky Wildcats vs Oklahoma Sooners: Oklahoma Sooners are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Oklahoma Sooners host Kentucky Wildcats in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 19:30 at Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK). Our prediction for Kentucky Wildcats vs Oklahoma Sooners is Oklahoma Sooners to win, with a 69% chance. We project Kentucky Wildcats 17.3 and Oklahoma Sooners 24.8. Our best bet is Oklahoma to win at -238.

Oklahoma Sooners form

Oklahoma Sooners have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 370 points scored and 249 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Kentucky Wildcats form

Kentucky Wildcats have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 402 points scored and 405 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Kentucky Wildcats to score about 17.3 points and Oklahoma Sooners about 24.8. That points to Oklahoma Sooners to win. Our safest bet is Oklahoma to win at -238.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

	Oklahoma	Kentucky
Games played	15	15
Wins	10	8
Losses	5	7
Points scored	370	402
Points conceded	249	405
Scored per game	24.7	26.8
Conceded per game	16.6	27.0
Home record	6W 2L	5W 3L
Away record	4W 3L	3W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Oklahoma to win	69%	-223	-238	-1.9%
Kentucky to win	32%	+216	+195	-6.8%
Oklahoma -6.5	49%	+105	-110	-6.8%
Kentucky +6.5	44%	+125	-110	-15.1%
Over 41.5 points	48%	+108	-110	-8.4%
Under 41.5 points	45%	+121	-110	-13.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Oklahoma spread	Covers	Fair
Oklahoma -14.5	33%	+204
Oklahoma -10.5	42%	+136
Oklahoma -7.5	50%	+101
Oklahoma -4.5	57%	-134
Oklahoma -0.5	67%	-201

Total points	Over	Under
35.5	66%	34%
39.5	56%	44%
42.5	49%	51%
45.5	42%	58%
49.5	32%	68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Oklahoma +3.5 wins if Oklahoma win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

College Football

Sooners Considered Benching John Mateer After Costly Turnovers Against Georgia

Oklahoma head coach Brent Venables admitted the team discussed benching quarterback John Mateer at halftime during their 41-13 loss to Georgia.

27 Sept 2026

College Football

Historic Giants Clash as Oklahoma and Michigan Prepare to Meet

Historic powerhouses clash in Week 2 as Oklahoma and Michigan meet for just the third time ever following very different opening games.

12 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Kentucky Wildcats vs Oklahoma Sooners?

What is the projected score for Kentucky Wildcats vs Oklahoma Sooners?

We project Kentucky Wildcats 17.3 and Oklahoma Sooners 24.8, about 42.1 points in total.

How are Oklahoma Sooners playing?

How are Kentucky Wildcats playing?

What is the best bet for Kentucky Wildcats vs Oklahoma Sooners?

Oklahoma to win at -238, with a 69% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Oklahoma against Kentucky. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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