Predictions › India › Kerala Blasters FC vs Mumbai City FC

Indian Super LeagueSun 25 Oct, 19:30 India time

Kerala Blasters FC vs Mumbai City FC prediction

Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Kochi)

Kerala Blasters FCHome

1.13 : 1.25

expected goals

Mumbai City FCAway

32%Kerala

29%Draw

38%Mumbai City

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kerala Blasters FC vs Mumbai City FC is Mumbai City FC to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction: Mumbai City FC to win
Chance: 38%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Kerala Blasters FC 1.1, Mumbai City FC 1.3
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score: 49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

77% chanceFair price 1.302 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 7.211 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Kerala Blasters FC 32%, the draw 29% and Mumbai City FC 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Kerala Blasters FC took 15 points from their last 5 games and Mumbai City FC took 7 from 5. Kerala Blasters FC come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Kerala Blasters FC won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Mumbai City FC won 5 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Kerala Blasters FC score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.2. Mumbai City FC score 1.3 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Kerala Blasters FC games and 5 of Mumbai City FC games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Kerala Blasters FC won 0 and Mumbai City FC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Kerala Blasters FC 0, Mumbai City FC 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Keralarecent form+6%
Mumbai City recent form+1%

Kerala form D W W W WMumbai City form D W W L DHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kerala Blasters FC vs Mumbai City FC: Mumbai City FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kerala Blasters FC host Mumbai City FC in the Indian Super League on Sun 25 Oct, 19:30 at Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Kochi). Our prediction for Kerala Blasters FC vs Mumbai City FC is Mumbai City FC to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Kerala Blasters FC form

Kerala Blasters FC have 6 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 14 games, with 17 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Mumbai City FC form

Mumbai City FC have 7 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 14 games, with 18 goals scored and 11 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Kerala Blasters FC won 0, Mumbai City FC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Kerala Blasters FC 0, Mumbai City FC 1.

Our call

We expect Kerala Blasters FC to score about 1.1 goals and Mumbai City FC about 1.3. That points to Mumbai City FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.21.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 14 games in all competitions.

	Kerala	Mumbai City
Games played	14	14
Wins	6	7
Draws	2	4
Losses	6	3
Goals scored	17	18
Goals conceded	17	11
Scored per game	1.2	1.3
Conceded per game	1.2	0.8
Home record	4W 1D 4L	2W 2D 1L
Away record	2W 1D 2L	5W 2D 2L
Clean sheets	14%	50%
Both teams scored	57%	43%
Over 2.5 goals	43%	36%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	69%	1.44
Over 2.5 goals	42%	2.36
Over 3.5 goals	22%	4.62
Both teams to score	49%	2.04
Kerala Blasters FC or Draw	62%	1.62
Mumbai City FC or Draw	68%	1.48
Kerala Blasters FC to win and Over 2.5	17%	5.98
Mumbai City FC to win and Over 2.5	20%	4.93
Kerala Blasters FC clean sheet	29%	3.49
Mumbai City FC clean sheet	32%	3.08

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.9%

0-110.8%

0-010.1%

1-09.7%

1-28.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kerala Blasters FC vs Mumbai City FC?

Our prediction for Kerala Blasters FC vs Mumbai City FC is Mumbai City FC to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Kerala Blasters FC vs Mumbai City FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Kerala Blasters FC to score 1.1 goals and Mumbai City FC 1.3.

Will both teams score in Kerala Blasters FC vs Mumbai City FC?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Kerala Blasters FC last 14 games and 6 of Mumbai City FC last 14.

How are Kerala Blasters FC playing?

How are Mumbai City FC playing?

What happened when Kerala Blasters FC and Mumbai City FC last met?

It ended Kerala Blasters FC 0, Mumbai City FC 1. In the last 1 meeting Kerala Blasters FC won 0 and Mumbai City FC won 1.

What is the best bet for Kerala Blasters FC vs Mumbai City FC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kerala against Mumbai City . A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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