Predictions › Norway › KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund

EliteserienSun 13 Sept, 15:00 Norway time

KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund prediction

KFUM Arena

KFUM OsloHome

1.60 : 1.42

expected goals

AalesundAway

41%KFUM

25%Draw

33%Aalesund

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.59

Quick answer

Our prediction for KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund is KFUM Oslo to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.59.

Prediction: KFUM Oslo to win
Chance: 41%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: KFUM Oslo 1.6, Aalesund 1.4
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.59
Both teams to score: 61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

61% chancePrice 1.591 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

KFUM Oslo to win and Over 2.5

26% chanceFair price 3.791 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives KFUM Oslo 41%, the draw 25% and Aalesund 33%. The bookmakers agree and make KFUM Oslo the favourite at 2.40.
2
Recent form
KFUM Oslo took 7 points from their last 5 games and Aalesund took 5 from 5. KFUM Oslo come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
KFUM Oslo won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Aalesund won 1 of their last 8 on the road.
4
Goals
KFUM Oslo score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.8. Aalesund score 1.5 and let in 2.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of KFUM Oslo games and 11 of Aalesund games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, KFUM Oslo won 0 and Aalesund won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Aalesund 2, KFUM Oslo 2.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 61% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Aalesundrecent form-1%

KFUM form L L D W WAalesund form W L D D LHome edge in this league 34% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund: KFUM Oslo shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

KFUM Oslo host Aalesund in the Eliteserien on Sun 13 Sept, 15:00 at KFUM Arena. Our prediction for KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund is KFUM Oslo to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.59.

KFUM Oslo form

KFUM Oslo have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Aalesund form

Aalesund have 3 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses in their last 19 games, with 28 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. KFUM Oslo won 0, Aalesund won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Aalesund 2, KFUM Oslo 2.

Our call

We expect KFUM Oslo to score about 1.6 goals and Aalesund about 1.4. That points to KFUM Oslo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.59. Our bold bet is KFUM Oslo to win and Over 2.5 at 3.79.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	KFUM	Aalesund
Games played	20	19
Wins	5	3
Draws	4	9
Losses	11	7
Goals scored	20	28
Goals conceded	35	41
Scored per game	1.0	1.5
Conceded per game	1.8	2.2
Home record	4W 2D 4L	2W 6D 3L
Away record	1W 2D 7L	1W 3D 4L
Clean sheets	25%	11%
Both teams scored	50%	79%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	58%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
KFUM Oslo to win	38%	2.65	2.40	-9.3%
A Draw	24%	4.18	3.80	-9.0%
Aalesund to win	32%	3.17	2.65	-16.5%
Over 3.5 goals	36%	2.74	2.25	-18.0%
Under 3.5 goals	61%	1.63	1.59	-2.6%
KFUM Oslo -0.5	37%	2.72	2.35	-13.7%
Aalesund +0.5	61%	1.64	1.54	-6.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	81%	1.23
Over 2.5 goals	58%	1.72
Over 3.5 goals	36%	2.80
Both teams to score	61%	1.63
KFUM Oslo or Draw	67%	1.50
Aalesund or Draw	59%	1.70
KFUM Oslo to win and Over 2.5	28%	3.60
Aalesund to win and Over 2.5	22%	4.49
KFUM Oslo clean sheet	24%	4.15
Aalesund clean sheet	20%	4.95

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%

2-18.9%

1-27.9%

1-07.1%

2-26.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund?

Our prediction for KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund is KFUM Oslo to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.59.

What is the score prediction for KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect KFUM Oslo to score 1.6 goals and Aalesund 1.4.

Will both teams score in KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of KFUM Oslo last 20 games and 15 of Aalesund last 19.

How are KFUM Oslo playing?

How are Aalesund playing?

What happened when KFUM Oslo and Aalesund last met?

It ended Aalesund 2, KFUM Oslo 2. In the last 1 meeting KFUM Oslo won 0 and Aalesund won 0.

What is the best bet for KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.59, with a 61% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in KFUM against Aalesund. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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