Predictions › Norway › KFUM Oslo vs SK Brann

EliteserienSun 22 Nov, 16:00 Norway time

KFUM Oslo vs SK Brann prediction

KFUM Arena

KFUM OsloHome

1.49 : 1.78

expected goals

SK BrannAway

32%KFUM

24%Draw

44%SK Brann

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for KFUM Oslo vs SK Brann is SK Brann to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction: SK Brann to win
Chance: 44%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: KFUM Oslo 1.5, SK Brann 1.8
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score: 65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

84% chanceFair price 1.192 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

KFUM Oslo to win

31% chancePrice 3.151 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives KFUM Oslo 32%, the draw 24% and SK Brann 44%. The bookmakers agree and make SK Brann the favourite at 1.95.
2
Recent form
KFUM Oslo took 6 points from their last 5 games and SK Brann took 8 from 5. SK Brann come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
KFUM Oslo won 4 of their last 10 games at home. SK Brann won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
KFUM Oslo score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.8. SK Brann score 1.6 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of KFUM Oslo games and 16 of SK Brann games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, KFUM Oslo won 0 and SK Brann won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended SK Brann 2, KFUM Oslo 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

KFUMrecent form+1%
SK Brannrecent form+1%

KFUM form D D D D WSK Brann form D D W L WHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

KFUM Oslo vs SK Brann: SK Brann shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

KFUM Oslo host SK Brann in the Eliteserien on Sun 22 Nov, 16:00 at KFUM Arena. Our prediction for KFUM Oslo vs SK Brann is SK Brann to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

KFUM Oslo form

KFUM Oslo have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, W, newest first.

SK Brann form

SK Brann have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. KFUM Oslo won 0, SK Brann won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished SK Brann 2, KFUM Oslo 1.

Our call

We expect KFUM Oslo to score about 1.5 goals and SK Brann about 1.8. That points to SK Brann to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is KFUM Oslo to win at 3.15.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	KFUM	SK Brann
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	8
Draws	6	3
Losses	8	9
Goals scored	26	33
Goals conceded	35	34
Scored per game	1.3	1.6
Conceded per game	1.8	1.7
Home record	4W 3D 3L	6W 0D 4L
Away record	2W 3D 5L	2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets	15%	10%
Both teams scored	70%	80%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
KFUM Oslo to win	31%	3.18	3.15	-1.0%
A Draw	23%	4.26	3.90	-8.5%
SK Brann to win	42%	2.38	1.95	-17.9%
Over 3.5 goals	42%	2.37	2.00	-15.5%
Under 3.5 goals	51%	1.96	1.67	-15.0%
KFUM Oslo +0.5	49%	2.04	1.74	-14.8%
SK Brann -0.5	44%	2.26	1.87	-17.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	84%	1.18
Over 2.5 goals	64%	1.57
Over 3.5 goals	41%	2.42
Both teams to score	65%	1.54
KFUM Oslo or Draw	56%	1.79
SK Brann or Draw	68%	1.47
KFUM Oslo to win and Over 2.5	23%	4.42
SK Brann to win and Over 2.5	32%	3.14
KFUM Oslo clean sheet	17%	5.93
SK Brann clean sheet	22%	4.45

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.7%

1-29.0%

2-17.5%

2-26.7%

0-16.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win KFUM Oslo vs SK Brann?

Our prediction for KFUM Oslo vs SK Brann is SK Brann to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for KFUM Oslo vs SK Brann?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect KFUM Oslo to score 1.5 goals and SK Brann 1.8.

Will both teams score in KFUM Oslo vs SK Brann?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of KFUM Oslo last 20 games and 16 of SK Brann last 20.

How are KFUM Oslo playing?

How are SK Brann playing?

What happened when KFUM Oslo and SK Brann last met?

It ended SK Brann 2, KFUM Oslo 1. In the last 2 meetings KFUM Oslo won 0 and SK Brann won 1.

What is the best bet for KFUM Oslo vs SK Brann?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in KFUM against SK Brann. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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