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Predictions › United Kingdom › Kidderminster Harriers vs Doncaster Rovers
FA CupSat 7 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Kidderminster Harriers vs Doncaster Rovers prediction

Aggborough Stadium

KHKidderminster HarriersHome
1.75 : 1.47
expected goals
Doncaster RoversAway
44%Kid'minster
24%Draw
32%Doncaster
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/5

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kidderminster Harriers vs Doncaster Rovers is Kidderminster Harriers to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

Prediction
Kidderminster Harriers to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Kidderminster Harriers 1.8, Doncaster Rovers 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/5
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1/52 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kidderminster Harriers to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 9/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kidderminster Harriers 44%, the draw 24% and Doncaster Rovers 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Doncasterrest between games-5%
Kid'minster form D L W D DDoncaster form D W L L WHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kidderminster Harriers vs Doncaster Rovers: Kidderminster Harriers shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kidderminster Harriers host Doncaster Rovers in the FA Cup on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at Aggborough Stadium. Our prediction for Kidderminster Harriers vs Doncaster Rovers is Kidderminster Harriers to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

Kidderminster Harriers form

Kidderminster Harriers have no recent games in our records yet.

Doncaster Rovers form

Doncaster Rovers have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Kidderminster Harriers to score about 1.8 goals and Doncaster Rovers about 1.5. That points to Kidderminster Harriers to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5. Our bold bet is Kidderminster Harriers to win and Over 2.5 at 9/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Kid'minsterDoncaster
Games playedn/a20
Winsn/a6
Drawsn/a5
Lossesn/a9
Goals scoredn/a23
Goals concededn/a28
Scored per gamen/a1.1
Conceded per gamen/a1.4
Home recordn/a3W 3D 4L
Away recordn/a3W 2D 5L
Clean sheetsn/a25%
Both teams scoredn/a55%
Over 2.5 goalsn/a45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1/5
Over 2.5 goals62%8/13
Over 3.5 goals40%6/4
Both teams to score64%4/7
Kidderminster Harriers or Draw68%4/9
Doncaster Rovers or Draw56%4/5
Kidderminster Harriers to win and Over 2.531%11/5
Doncaster Rovers to win and Over 2.522%7/2
Kidderminster Harriers clean sheet23%10/3
Doncaster Rovers clean sheet17%5/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.9%
2-19.0%
1-27.5%
2-26.6%
1-06.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kidderminster Harriers vs Doncaster Rovers?

Our prediction for Kidderminster Harriers vs Doncaster Rovers is Kidderminster Harriers to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

What is the score prediction for Kidderminster Harriers vs Doncaster Rovers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Kidderminster Harriers to score 1.8 goals and Doncaster Rovers 1.5.

Will both teams score in Kidderminster Harriers vs Doncaster Rovers?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance.

How are Doncaster Rovers playing?

Doncaster Rovers have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Kidderminster Harriers vs Doncaster Rovers?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/5, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kid'minster against Doncaster. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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