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Predictions › Greece › Kifisia vs Aris
Greek Super LeagueSun 18 Oct, 17:00 Greece time

Kifisia vs Aris prediction

Apostolos Nikolaidis

KifisiaHome
1.23 : 1.09
expected goals
ArisAway
38%Kifisia
30%Draw
32%Aris
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kifisia vs Aris is Kifisia to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Kifisia to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Kifisia 1.2, Aris 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.161 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kifisia 38%, the draw 30% and Aris 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kifisia took 5 points from their last 5 games and Aris took 7 from 5. Aris come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kifisia won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Aris won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kifisia score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.3. Aris score 1.3 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Kifisia games and 9 of Aris games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Kifisia won 0 and Aris won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Aris 1, Kifisia 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kifisiarecent form-1%
Kifisia form W D L L DAris form D L L W WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kifisia vs Aris: Kifisia shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kifisia host Aris in the Greek Super League on Sun 18 Oct, 17:00 at Apostolos Nikolaidis. Our prediction for Kifisia vs Aris is Kifisia to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Kifisia form

Kifisia have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Aris form

Aris have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Kifisia won 0, Aris won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Aris 1, Kifisia 1.

Our call

We expect Kifisia to score about 1.2 goals and Aris about 1.1. That points to Kifisia to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.16.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KifisiaAris
Games played2020
Wins68
Draws78
Losses74
Goals scored1725
Goals conceded2524
Scored per game0.81.3
Conceded per game1.31.2
Home record3W 4D 3L4W 5D 1L
Away record3W 3D 4L4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets40%35%
Both teams scored45%50%
Over 2.5 goals45%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1.47
Over 2.5 goals41%2.45
Over 3.5 goals20%4.90
Both teams to score48%2.10
Kifisia or Draw68%1.47
Aris or Draw62%1.63
Kifisia to win and Over 2.520%5.06
Aris to win and Over 2.516%6.27
Kifisia clean sheet34%2.97
Aris clean sheet29%3.41

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.0%
1-011.3%
0-010.7%
0-110.0%
2-18.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kifisia vs Aris?

Our prediction for Kifisia vs Aris is Kifisia to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Kifisia vs Aris?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Kifisia to score 1.2 goals and Aris 1.1.

Will both teams score in Kifisia vs Aris?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Kifisia last 20 games and 10 of Aris last 20.

How are Kifisia playing?

Kifisia have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Aris playing?

Aris have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Kifisia and Aris last met?

It ended Aris 1, Kifisia 1. In the last 2 meetings Kifisia won 0 and Aris won 1.

What is the best bet for Kifisia vs Aris?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kifisia against Aris. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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