Predictions › Greece › Kifisia vs Levadiakos

Greek Super LeagueSun 13 Sept, 18:00 Greece time

Kifisia vs Levadiakos prediction

Apostolos Nikolaidis

KifisiaHome

1.38 : 1.15

expected goals

LevadiakosAway

41%Kifisia

28%Draw

31%Levadiakos

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kifisia vs Levadiakos is Kifisia to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction: Kifisia to win
Chance: 41%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Kifisia 1.4, Levadiakos 1.1
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score: 52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

77% chanceFair price 1.302 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price 7.461 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Kifisia 41%, the draw 28% and Levadiakos 31%. The bookmakers agree and make Kifisia the favourite at 2.40.
2
Recent form
Kifisia took 5 points from their last 5 games and Levadiakos took 3 from 5. Kifisia come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Kifisia won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Levadiakos won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Kifisia score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. Levadiakos score 1.4 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Kifisia games and 13 of Levadiakos games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Kifisia won 1 and Levadiakos won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Kifisia 1, Levadiakos 0.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Kifisiarecent form-1%
Levadiakosrecent form-4%
Kifisiarest between games-2%

Kifisia form L L D W DLevadiakos form L L L L WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kifisia vs Levadiakos: Kifisia shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kifisia host Levadiakos in the Greek Super League on Sun 13 Sept, 18:00 at Apostolos Nikolaidis. Our prediction for Kifisia vs Levadiakos is Kifisia to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Kifisia form

Kifisia have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, D, newest first.

Levadiakos form

Levadiakos have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Kifisia won 1, Levadiakos won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Kifisia 1, Levadiakos 0.

Our call

We expect Kifisia to score about 1.4 goals and Levadiakos about 1.1. That points to Kifisia to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.46.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Kifisia	Levadiakos
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	7
Draws	8	3
Losses	7	10
Goals scored	18	27
Goals conceded	27	38
Scored per game	0.9	1.4
Conceded per game	1.4	1.9
Home record	3W 4D 3L	5W 2D 3L
Away record	2W 4D 4L	2W 1D 7L
Clean sheets	35%	15%
Both teams scored	50%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Kifisia to win	38%	2.63	2.40	-8.7%
A Draw	27%	3.77	3.05	-19.0%
Levadiakos to win	29%	3.44	3.20	-7.1%
Over 2.5 goals	43%	2.34	2.10	-10.2%
Under 2.5 goals	55%	1.83	1.69	-7.4%
Kifisia -0.5	38%	2.65	2.25	-15.2%
Levadiakos +0.5	60%	1.67	1.56	-6.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	73%	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	46%	2.16
Over 3.5 goals	25%	4.02
Both teams to score	52%	1.93
Kifisia or Draw	69%	1.44
Levadiakos or Draw	59%	1.70
Kifisia to win and Over 2.5	24%	4.25
Levadiakos to win and Over 2.5	17%	5.93
Kifisia clean sheet	32%	3.16
Levadiakos clean sheet	25%	3.97

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.4%

1-010.2%

0-08.7%

2-18.7%

0-18.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kifisia vs Levadiakos?

Our prediction for Kifisia vs Levadiakos is Kifisia to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Kifisia vs Levadiakos?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Kifisia to score 1.4 goals and Levadiakos 1.1.

Will both teams score in Kifisia vs Levadiakos?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Kifisia last 20 games and 9 of Levadiakos last 20.

How are Kifisia playing?

How are Levadiakos playing?

What happened when Kifisia and Levadiakos last met?

It ended Kifisia 1, Levadiakos 0. In the last 1 meeting Kifisia won 1 and Levadiakos won 0.

What is the best bet for Kifisia vs Levadiakos?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kifisia against Levadiakos. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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