Predictions › Greece › Kifisia vs Panetolikos

Greek Super LeagueSun 11 Oct, 14:00 Greece time

Kifisia vs Panetolikos prediction

Apostolos Nikolaidis

KifisiaHome

1.30 : 0.98

expected goals

PanetolikosAway

43%Kifisia

30%Draw

27%Panetolikos

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kifisia vs Panetolikos is Kifisia to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction: Kifisia to win
Chance: 43%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Kifisia 1.3, Panetolikos 1.0
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score: 46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

78% chanceFair price 1.282 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Panetolikos to win

27% chancePrice 3.90+3.6% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Kifisia 43%, the draw 30% and Panetolikos 27%. The bookmakers agree and make Kifisia the favourite at 1.91.
2
Recent form
Kifisia took 5 points from their last 5 games and Panetolikos took 9 from 5. Panetolikos come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Kifisia won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Panetolikos won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Kifisia score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.3. Panetolikos score 1.1 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Kifisia games and 9 of Panetolikos games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 4 meetings, Kifisia won 1 and Panetolikos won 1 with 2 draws. The last one ended Panetolikos 0, Kifisia 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Kifisiarecent form-1%
Panetolikosrecent form+1%

Kifisia form W D L L DPanetolikos form L L W W WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kifisia vs Panetolikos: Kifisia shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kifisia host Panetolikos in the Greek Super League on Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 at Apostolos Nikolaidis. Our prediction for Kifisia vs Panetolikos is Kifisia to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Kifisia form

Kifisia have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Panetolikos form

Panetolikos have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Kifisia won 1, Panetolikos won 1 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Panetolikos 0, Kifisia 1.

Our call

We expect Kifisia to score about 1.3 goals and Panetolikos about 1.0. That points to Kifisia to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Panetolikos to win at 3.90.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Kifisia	Panetolikos
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	6
Draws	7	6
Losses	7	8
Goals scored	17	21
Goals conceded	25	24
Scored per game	0.8	1.1
Conceded per game	1.3	1.2
Home record	3W 4D 3L	3W 3D 4L
Away record	3W 3D 4L	3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets	40%	25%
Both teams scored	45%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Kifisia to win	41%	2.47	1.91	-22.7%
A Draw	29%	3.47	3.35	-3.5%
Panetolikos to win	27%	3.76	3.90	+3.6%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	2.47	2.05	-17.0%
Under 2.5 goals	54%	1.87	1.65	-11.8%
Kifisia -0.5	45%	2.23	1.83	-17.9%
Panetolikos +0.5	49%	2.03	1.80	-11.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	67%	1.49
Over 2.5 goals	40%	2.51
Over 3.5 goals	20%	5.09
Both teams to score	46%	2.16
Kifisia or Draw	73%	1.37
Panetolikos or Draw	57%	1.76
Kifisia to win and Over 2.5	22%	4.55
Panetolikos to win and Over 2.5	13%	7.63
Kifisia clean sheet	38%	2.66
Panetolikos clean sheet	27%	3.67

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.8%

1-012.5%

0-011.0%

0-19.2%

2-08.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kifisia vs Panetolikos?

Our prediction for Kifisia vs Panetolikos is Kifisia to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Kifisia vs Panetolikos?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Kifisia to score 1.3 goals and Panetolikos 1.0.

Will both teams score in Kifisia vs Panetolikos?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Kifisia last 20 games and 11 of Panetolikos last 20.

How are Kifisia playing?

How are Panetolikos playing?

What happened when Kifisia and Panetolikos last met?

It ended Panetolikos 0, Kifisia 1. In the last 4 meetings Kifisia won 1 and Panetolikos won 1.

What is the best bet for Kifisia vs Panetolikos?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kifisia against Panetolikos. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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