Predictions › United Kingdom › Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone
Scottish PremiershipSat 31 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone prediction

The BBSP Stadium

KilmarnockHome
1.20 : 1.44
expected goals
St JohnstoneAway
31%Kilmarnock
27%Draw
42%St Johnstone
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone is St Johnstone to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
St Johnstone to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Kilmarnock 1.2, St Johnstone 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1/32 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kilmarnock 31%, the draw 27% and St Johnstone 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kilmarnock took 8 points from their last 5 games and St Johnstone took 8 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kilmarnock won 5 of their last 10 games at home. St Johnstone won 1 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kilmarnock score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.7. St Johnstone score 1.2 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Kilmarnock games and 3 of St Johnstone games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Kilmarnock won 0 and St Johnstone won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended St Johnstone 4, Kilmarnock 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kilmarnockrecent form-1%
  • St Johnstonerecent form+1%
Kilmarnock form D L D W LSt Johnstone form D W D L WHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone: St Johnstone shade it

The big picture

Kilmarnock host St Johnstone in the Scottish Premiership on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at The BBSP Stadium. Our prediction for Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone is St Johnstone to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Kilmarnock form

Kilmarnock have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, D, newest first.

St Johnstone form

St Johnstone have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 9 games, with 11 goals scored and 11 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Kilmarnock won 0, St Johnstone won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished St Johnstone 4, Kilmarnock 3.

Our call

We expect Kilmarnock to score about 1.2 goals and St Johnstone about 1.4. That points to St Johnstone to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KilmarnockSt Johnstone
Games played209
Wins83
Draws43
Losses83
Goals scored3011
Goals conceded3411
Scored per game1.51.2
Conceded per game1.71.2
Home record5W 2D 3L2W 2D 1L
Away record3W 2D 5L1W 1D 2L
Clean sheets30%11%
Both teams scored50%67%
Over 2.5 goals60%33%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1/3
Over 2.5 goals49%21/20
Over 3.5 goals27%13/5
Both teams to score54%5/6
Kilmarnock or Draw58%8/11
St Johnstone or Draw69%4/9
Kilmarnock to win and Over 2.518%9/2
St Johnstone to win and Over 2.525%3/1
Kilmarnock clean sheet24%10/3
St Johnstone clean sheet30%12/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
0-19.5%
1-28.9%
0-07.9%
1-07.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone?

Our prediction for Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone is St Johnstone to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Kilmarnock to score 1.2 goals and St Johnstone 1.4.

Will both teams score in Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Kilmarnock last 20 games and 6 of St Johnstone last 9.

How are Kilmarnock playing?

Kilmarnock have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, D, newest first.

How are St Johnstone playing?

St Johnstone have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 9 games, with 11 goals scored and 11 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Kilmarnock and St Johnstone last met?

It ended St Johnstone 4, Kilmarnock 3. In the last 1 meeting Kilmarnock won 0 and St Johnstone won 1.

What is the best bet for Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/3, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kilmarnock against St Johnstone. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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