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Predictions › Turkey › Kocaelispor vs Goztepe
Super LigSun 18 Oct, 13:00 Turkey time

Kocaelispor vs Goztepe prediction

Yildiz Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu

KocaelisporHome
1.44 : 0.75
expected goals
GoztepeAway
53%Kocaelispor
28%Draw
19%Goztepe
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kocaelispor vs Goztepe is Kocaelispor to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction
Kocaelispor to win
Chance
53%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Kocaelispor 1.4, Goztepe 0.8
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score
41%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kocaelispor to win and Over 2.5
25% chanceFair price 3.951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kocaelispor 53%, the draw 28% and Goztepe 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kocaelispor took 12 points from their last 5 games and Goztepe took 2 from 5. Kocaelispor come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kocaelispor won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Goztepe won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kocaelispor score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.1. Goztepe score 1.3 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of Kocaelispor games and 12 of Goztepe games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Kocaelispor won 0 and Goztepe won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Kocaelispor 1, Goztepe 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kocaelisporrecent form+4%
  • Gozteperecent form-4%
Kocaelispor form W L W W WGoztepe form D D L L LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kocaelispor vs Goztepe: Kocaelispor are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kocaelispor host Goztepe in the Super Lig on Sun 18 Oct, 13:00 at Yildiz Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu. Our prediction for Kocaelispor vs Goztepe is Kocaelispor to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Kocaelispor form

Kocaelispor have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Goztepe form

Goztepe have 3 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Kocaelispor won 0, Goztepe won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Kocaelispor 1, Goztepe 1.

Our call

We expect Kocaelispor to score about 1.4 goals and Goztepe about 0.8. That points to Kocaelispor to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Kocaelispor to win and Over 2.5 at 3.95.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KocaelisporGoztepe
Games played2020
Wins73
Draws410
Losses97
Goals scored1726
Goals conceded2135
Scored per game0.81.3
Conceded per game1.11.8
Home record4W 2D 3L2W 5D 3L
Away record3W 2D 6L1W 5D 4L
Clean sheets30%25%
Both teams scored30%60%
Over 2.5 goals25%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals65%1.54
Over 2.5 goals38%2.67
Over 3.5 goals18%5.58
Both teams to score41%2.43
Kocaelispor or Draw81%1.23
Goztepe or Draw47%2.11
Kocaelispor to win and Over 2.526%3.88
Goztepe to win and Over 2.58%12.47
Kocaelispor clean sheet47%2.12
Goztepe clean sheet24%4.22

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-015.3%
1-112.8%
0-011.9%
2-011.6%
2-18.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kocaelispor vs Goztepe?

Our prediction for Kocaelispor vs Goztepe is Kocaelispor to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Kocaelispor vs Goztepe?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Kocaelispor to score 1.4 goals and Goztepe 0.8.

Will both teams score in Kocaelispor vs Goztepe?

Both teams to score has a 41% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of Kocaelispor last 20 games and 12 of Goztepe last 20.

How are Kocaelispor playing?

Kocaelispor have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Goztepe playing?

Goztepe have 3 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Kocaelispor and Goztepe last met?

It ended Kocaelispor 1, Goztepe 1. In the last 2 meetings Kocaelispor won 0 and Goztepe won 0.

What is the best bet for Kocaelispor vs Goztepe?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.26, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kocaelispor against Goztepe. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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