Predictions › Turkey › Konyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir

Super LigSun 11 Oct, 10:30 Turkey time

Konyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir prediction

Medas Konya Büyüksehir Stadyumu

KonyasporHome

1.34 : 1.29

expected goals

Istanbul BasaksehirAway

37%Konyaspor

28%Draw

35%Istanbul BB

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Konyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir is Konyaspor to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction: Konyaspor to win
Chance: 37%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Konyaspor 1.3, Istanbul Basaksehir 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score: 54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

75% chanceFair price 1.332 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price 7.591 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Konyaspor 37%, the draw 28% and Istanbul Basaksehir 35%. The bookmakers agree and make Konyaspor the favourite at 2.55.
2
Recent form
Konyaspor took 4 points from their last 5 games and Istanbul Basaksehir took 4 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Konyaspor won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Istanbul Basaksehir won 3 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Konyaspor score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.3. Istanbul Basaksehir score 1.7 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Konyaspor games and 14 of Istanbul Basaksehir games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Konyaspor won 1 and Istanbul Basaksehir won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Istanbul Basaksehir 2, Konyaspor 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Konyasporrecent form-3%
Istanbul BBrecent form-3%

Konyaspor form D W L L LIstanbul BB form W L L D LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Konyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir: Konyaspor shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Konyaspor host Istanbul Basaksehir in the Super Lig on Sun 11 Oct, 10:30 at Medas Konya Büyüksehir Stadyumu. Our prediction for Konyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir is Konyaspor to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Konyaspor form

Konyaspor have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Istanbul Basaksehir form

Istanbul Basaksehir have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Konyaspor won 1, Istanbul Basaksehir won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Istanbul Basaksehir 2, Konyaspor 0.

Our call

We expect Konyaspor to score about 1.3 goals and Istanbul Basaksehir about 1.3. That points to Konyaspor to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.59.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Konyaspor	Istanbul BB
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	10
Draws	4	4
Losses	9	6
Goals scored	23	34
Goals conceded	25	25
Scored per game	1.1	1.7
Conceded per game	1.3	1.3
Home record	5W 2D 3L	7W 2D 2L
Away record	2W 2D 6L	3W 2D 4L
Clean sheets	35%	40%
Both teams scored	45%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Konyaspor to win	35%	2.83	2.55	-9.8%
A Draw	27%	3.71	3.35	-9.7%
Istanbul Basaksehir to win	33%	2.99	2.60	-13.0%
Over 2.5 goals	49%	2.05	1.74	-15.2%
Under 2.5 goals	45%	2.20	1.95	-11.4%
Konyaspor +0.5	62%	1.62	1.46	-10.4%
Istanbul Basaksehir -0.5	35%	2.85	2.40	-15.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	75%	1.34
Over 2.5 goals	49%	2.04
Over 3.5 goals	27%	3.67
Both teams to score	54%	1.84
Konyaspor or Draw	65%	1.54
Istanbul Basaksehir or Draw	63%	1.60
Konyaspor to win and Over 2.5	22%	4.54
Istanbul Basaksehir to win and Over 2.5	21%	4.87
Konyaspor clean sheet	27%	3.65
Istanbul Basaksehir clean sheet	26%	3.83

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.2%

1-08.9%

0-18.5%

2-18.4%

1-28.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Konyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir?

Our prediction for Konyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir is Konyaspor to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Konyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Konyaspor to score 1.3 goals and Istanbul Basaksehir 1.3.

Will both teams score in Konyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Konyaspor last 20 games and 10 of Istanbul Basaksehir last 20.

How are Konyaspor playing?

How are Istanbul Basaksehir playing?

What happened when Konyaspor and Istanbul Basaksehir last met?

It ended Istanbul Basaksehir 2, Konyaspor 0. In the last 2 meetings Konyaspor won 1 and Istanbul Basaksehir won 1.

What is the best bet for Konyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Konyaspor against Istanbul BB. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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