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Predictions › Norway › Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund
EliteserienSat 17 Oct, 14:00 Norway time

Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund prediction

Nordmore Stadion

Kristiansund BKHome
1.54 : 1.29
expected goals
AalesundAway
42%Kristiansund
26%Draw
31%Aalesund
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund is Kristiansund BK to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Kristiansund BK to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Kristiansund BK 1.5, Aalesund 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kristiansund BK to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.751 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kristiansund BK 42%, the draw 26% and Aalesund 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kristiansund BK took 4 points from their last 5 games and Aalesund took 7 from 5. Aalesund come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kristiansund BK won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Aalesund won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kristiansund BK score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.8. Aalesund score 1.5 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Kristiansund BK games and 12 of Aalesund games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Kristiansund BK won 0 and Aalesund won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Aalesund 1, Kristiansund BK 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kristiansundrecent form-3%
Kristiansund form L L W D LAalesund form W L W L DHome edge in this league 34% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund: Kristiansund BK shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kristiansund BK host Aalesund in the Eliteserien on Sat 17 Oct, 14:00 at Nordmore Stadion. Our prediction for Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund is Kristiansund BK to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Kristiansund BK form

Kristiansund BK have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Aalesund form

Aalesund have 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Kristiansund BK won 0, Aalesund won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Aalesund 1, Kristiansund BK 1.

Our call

We expect Kristiansund BK to score about 1.5 goals and Aalesund about 1.3. That points to Kristiansund BK to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Kristiansund BK to win and Over 2.5 at 3.75.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KristiansundAalesund
Games played2020
Wins44
Draws59
Losses117
Goals scored1730
Goals conceded3541
Scored per game0.81.5
Conceded per game1.82.0
Home record3W 2D 4L2W 6D 2L
Away record1W 3D 7L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets20%10%
Both teams scored50%80%
Over 2.5 goals50%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%1.86
Over 3.5 goals31%3.18
Both teams to score58%1.73
Kristiansund BK or Draw69%1.46
Aalesund or Draw58%1.73
Kristiansund BK to win and Over 2.527%3.71
Aalesund to win and Over 2.519%5.13
Kristiansund BK clean sheet27%3.64
Aalesund clean sheet22%4.65

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
2-19.0%
1-08.4%
1-27.6%
2-07.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?

Our prediction for Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund is Kristiansund BK to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Kristiansund BK to score 1.5 goals and Aalesund 1.3.

Will both teams score in Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Kristiansund BK last 20 games and 16 of Aalesund last 20.

How are Kristiansund BK playing?

Kristiansund BK have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Aalesund playing?

Aalesund have 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Kristiansund BK and Aalesund last met?

It ended Aalesund 1, Kristiansund BK 1. In the last 1 meeting Kristiansund BK won 0 and Aalesund won 0.

What is the best bet for Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kristiansund against Aalesund. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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