Predictions › Norway › Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg

EliteserienSat 19 Sept, 14:00 Norway time

Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg prediction

Nordmore Stadion

Kristiansund BKHome

1.51 : 1.20

expected goals

RosenborgAway

44%Kristiansund

27%Draw

29%Rosenborg

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg is Kristiansund BK to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction: Kristiansund BK to win
Chance: 44%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Kristiansund BK 1.5, Rosenborg 1.2
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score: 55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

78% chanceFair price 1.282 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kristiansund BK to win and Over 2.5

25% chanceFair price 3.941 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Kristiansund BK 44%, the draw 27% and Rosenborg 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Kristiansund BK took 7 points from their last 5 games and Rosenborg took 12 from 5. Rosenborg come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Kristiansund BK won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Rosenborg won 2 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Kristiansund BK score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. Rosenborg score 1.8 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Kristiansund BK games and 12 of Rosenborg games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Kristiansund BK won 0 and Rosenborg won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Rosenborg 3, Kristiansund BK 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Rosenborgrecent form+4%
Rosenborgrest between games-5%

Kristiansund form W D L W LRosenborg form W W L W WHome edge in this league 34% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg: Kristiansund BK shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kristiansund BK host Rosenborg in the Eliteserien on Sat 19 Sept, 14:00 at Nordmore Stadion. Our prediction for Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg is Kristiansund BK to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Kristiansund BK form

Kristiansund BK have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Rosenborg form

Rosenborg have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Kristiansund BK won 0, Rosenborg won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Rosenborg 3, Kristiansund BK 0.

Our call

We expect Kristiansund BK to score about 1.5 goals and Rosenborg about 1.2. That points to Kristiansund BK to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Kristiansund BK to win and Over 2.5 at 3.94.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Kristiansund	Rosenborg
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	9
Draws	5	3
Losses	10	8
Goals scored	19	36
Goals conceded	29	29
Scored per game	0.9	1.8
Conceded per game	1.4	1.4
Home record	4W 2D 4L	7W 2D 2L
Away record	1W 3D 6L	2W 1D 6L
Clean sheets	20%	35%
Both teams scored	50%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	76%	1.32
Over 2.5 goals	51%	1.97
Over 3.5 goals	29%	3.47
Both teams to score	55%	1.81
Kristiansund BK or Draw	71%	1.41
Rosenborg or Draw	56%	1.78
Kristiansund BK to win and Over 2.5	27%	3.72
Rosenborg to win and Over 2.5	17%	5.79
Kristiansund BK clean sheet	30%	3.30
Rosenborg clean sheet	22%	4.54

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%

1-09.4%

2-19.1%

2-07.6%

0-07.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg?

Our prediction for Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg is Kristiansund BK to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Kristiansund BK to score 1.5 goals and Rosenborg 1.2.

Will both teams score in Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Kristiansund BK last 20 games and 8 of Rosenborg last 20.

How are Kristiansund BK playing?

How are Rosenborg playing?

What happened when Kristiansund BK and Rosenborg last met?

It ended Rosenborg 3, Kristiansund BK 0. In the last 1 meeting Kristiansund BK won 0 and Rosenborg won 1.

What is the best bet for Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kristiansund against Rosenborg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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