Predictions › Norway › Kristiansund BK vs Sandefjord

EliteserienSun 22 Nov, 16:00 Norway time

Kristiansund BK vs Sandefjord prediction

Nordmore Stadion

Kristiansund BKHome

1.45 : 1.55

expected goals

SandefjordAway

35%Kristiansund

26%Draw

39%Sandefjord

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kristiansund BK vs Sandefjord is Sandefjord to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction: Sandefjord to win
Chance: 39%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Kristiansund BK 1.4, Sandefjord 1.6
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score: 61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

80% chanceFair price 1.242 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sandefjord to win and Over 2.5

26% chanceFair price 3.871 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Kristiansund BK 35%, the draw 26% and Sandefjord 39%. The bookmakers agree and make Sandefjord the favourite at 2.40.
2
Recent form
Kristiansund BK took 7 points from their last 5 games and Sandefjord took 5 from 5. Kristiansund BK come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Kristiansund BK won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Sandefjord won 2 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Kristiansund BK score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.9. Sandefjord score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Kristiansund BK games and 10 of Sandefjord games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Kristiansund BK won 0 and Sandefjord won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Sandefjord 2, Kristiansund BK 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Kristiansundrecent form-1%
Sandefjordrecent form-1%

Kristiansund form D W D L LSandefjord form D W L L DHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kristiansund BK vs Sandefjord: Sandefjord shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kristiansund BK host Sandefjord in the Eliteserien on Sun 22 Nov, 16:00 at Nordmore Stadion. Our prediction for Kristiansund BK vs Sandefjord is Sandefjord to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Kristiansund BK form

Kristiansund BK have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Sandefjord form

Sandefjord have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Kristiansund BK won 0, Sandefjord won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Sandefjord 2, Kristiansund BK 0.

Our call

We expect Kristiansund BK to score about 1.4 goals and Sandefjord about 1.6. That points to Sandefjord to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Sandefjord to win and Over 2.5 at 3.87.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Kristiansund	Sandefjord
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	5
Draws	4	6
Losses	11	9
Goals scored	22	27
Goals conceded	39	32
Scored per game	1.1	1.4
Conceded per game	1.9	1.6
Home record	3W 2D 4L	3W 5D 3L
Away record	2W 2D 7L	2W 1D 6L
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Both teams scored	60%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	65%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Kristiansund BK to win	34%	2.92	2.60	-10.9%
A Draw	25%	4.00	3.65	-8.6%
Sandefjord to win	38%	2.61	2.40	-8.0%
Over 3.5 goals	42%	2.41	1.95	-18.9%
Under 3.5 goals	52%	1.93	1.71	-11.4%
Kristiansund BK +0.5	54%	1.84	1.53	-17.3%
Sandefjord -0.5	39%	2.57	2.25	-12.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	81%	1.24
Over 2.5 goals	58%	1.73
Over 3.5 goals	35%	2.83
Both teams to score	61%	1.64
Kristiansund BK or Draw	61%	1.65
Sandefjord or Draw	65%	1.54
Kristiansund BK to win and Over 2.5	23%	4.31
Sandefjord to win and Over 2.5	26%	3.79
Kristiansund BK clean sheet	21%	4.71
Sandefjord clean sheet	23%	4.26

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.9%

1-28.7%

2-18.1%

0-17.0%

1-06.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kristiansund BK vs Sandefjord?

Our prediction for Kristiansund BK vs Sandefjord is Sandefjord to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Kristiansund BK vs Sandefjord?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Kristiansund BK to score 1.4 goals and Sandefjord 1.6.

Will both teams score in Kristiansund BK vs Sandefjord?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Kristiansund BK last 20 games and 11 of Sandefjord last 20.

How are Kristiansund BK playing?

How are Sandefjord playing?

What happened when Kristiansund BK and Sandefjord last met?

It ended Sandefjord 2, Kristiansund BK 0. In the last 1 meeting Kristiansund BK won 0 and Sandefjord won 1.

What is the best bet for Kristiansund BK vs Sandefjord?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.24, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kristiansund against Sandefjord. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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