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Predictions › Norway › Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga
EliteserienSat 7 Nov, 15:00 Norway time

Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga prediction

Nordmore Stadion

Kristiansund BKHome
1.64 : 1.63
expected goals
VålerengaAway
38%Kristiansund
24%Draw
38%Valerenga
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga is Kristiansund BK to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Kristiansund BK to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Kristiansund BK 1.6, Vålerenga 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kristiansund BK to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.781 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kristiansund BK 38%, the draw 24% and Vålerenga 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kristiansund BK took 1 point from their last 5 games and Vålerenga took 7 from 5. Vålerenga come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kristiansund BK won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Vålerenga won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kristiansund BK score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.9. Vålerenga score 1.6 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Kristiansund BK games and 13 of Vålerenga games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Kristiansund BK won 0 and Vålerenga won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Vålerenga 0, Kristiansund BK 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kristiansundrecent form-6%
  • Valerengarecent form-1%
Kristiansund form D L L L LValerenga form D W L D LHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga: Kristiansund BK shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kristiansund BK host Vålerenga in the Eliteserien on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at Nordmore Stadion. Our prediction for Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga is Kristiansund BK to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Kristiansund BK form

Kristiansund BK have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Vålerenga form

Vålerenga have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Kristiansund BK won 0, Vålerenga won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Vålerenga 0, Kristiansund BK 0.

Our call

We expect Kristiansund BK to score about 1.6 goals and Vålerenga about 1.6. That points to Kristiansund BK to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Kristiansund BK to win and Over 2.5 at 3.78.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KristiansundValerenga
Games played2020
Wins35
Draws65
Losses1110
Goals scored1932
Goals conceded3943
Scored per game0.91.6
Conceded per game1.92.1
Home record2W 3D 4L3W 3D 4L
Away record1W 3D 7L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets15%10%
Both teams scored65%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.18
Over 2.5 goals63%1.58
Over 3.5 goals41%2.42
Both teams to score65%1.53
Kristiansund BK or Draw62%1.60
Vålerenga or Draw62%1.61
Kristiansund BK to win and Over 2.527%3.66
Vålerenga to win and Over 2.527%3.71
Kristiansund BK clean sheet20%5.11
Vålerenga clean sheet19%5.16

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.8%
2-18.3%
1-28.3%
2-26.8%
1-05.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga?

Our prediction for Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga is Kristiansund BK to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Kristiansund BK to score 1.6 goals and Vålerenga 1.6.

Will both teams score in Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Kristiansund BK last 20 games and 12 of Vålerenga last 20.

How are Kristiansund BK playing?

Kristiansund BK have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Vålerenga playing?

Vålerenga have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Kristiansund BK and Vålerenga last met?

It ended Vålerenga 0, Kristiansund BK 0. In the last 2 meetings Kristiansund BK won 0 and Vålerenga won 0.

What is the best bet for Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kristiansund against Valerenga. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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