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Predictions › South Africa › Kruger United vs Richards Bay FC
South African PremiershipSat 31 Oct, 20:15 South Africa time

Kruger United vs Richards Bay FC prediction

Mbombela Stadium

Kruger UnitedHome
0.95 : 1.29
expected goals
Richards Bay FCAway
27%Kruger
30%Draw
44%Richards Bay
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kruger United vs Richards Bay FC is Richards Bay FC to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction
Richards Bay FC to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Kruger United 0.9, Richards Bay FC 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.241 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kruger United 27%, the draw 30% and Richards Bay FC 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kruger United took 6 points from their last 5 games and Richards Bay FC took 1 from 5. Kruger United come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kruger United won 0 of their last 4 games at home. Richards Bay FC won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kruger United score 0.5 goals a game and let in 1.5. Richards Bay FC score 0.9 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Kruger United games and 9 of Richards Bay FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Krugerrecent form-3%
  • Richards Bayrecent form-4%
Kruger form D L W L LRichards Bay form D L L L DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kruger United vs Richards Bay FC: Richards Bay FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kruger United host Richards Bay FC in the South African Premiership on Sat 31 Oct, 20:15 at Mbombela Stadium. Our prediction for Kruger United vs Richards Bay FC is Richards Bay FC to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24.

Kruger United form

Kruger United have 2 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 8 games, with 4 goals scored and 12 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Richards Bay FC form

Richards Bay FC have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Kruger United to score about 0.9 goals and Richards Bay FC about 1.3. That points to Richards Bay FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.24.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KrugerRichards Bay
Games played820
Wins23
Draws18
Losses59
Goals scored419
Goals conceded1231
Scored per game0.50.9
Conceded per game1.51.6
Home record0W 0D 4L2W 5D 4L
Away record2W 1D 1L1W 3D 5L
Clean sheets38%20%
Both teams scored25%65%
Over 2.5 goals38%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals66%1.51
Over 2.5 goals39%2.57
Over 3.5 goals19%5.29
Both teams to score45%2.21
Kruger United or Draw56%1.78
Richards Bay FC or Draw73%1.36
Kruger United to win and Over 2.512%8.04
Richards Bay FC to win and Over 2.522%4.58
Kruger United clean sheet27%3.65
Richards Bay FC clean sheet39%2.58

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.8%
0-113.0%
0-011.4%
1-09.3%
0-28.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kruger United vs Richards Bay FC?

Our prediction for Kruger United vs Richards Bay FC is Richards Bay FC to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Kruger United vs Richards Bay FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Kruger United to score 0.9 goals and Richards Bay FC 1.3.

Will both teams score in Kruger United vs Richards Bay FC?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 2 of Kruger United last 8 games and 13 of Richards Bay FC last 20.

How are Kruger United playing?

Kruger United have 2 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 8 games, with 4 goals scored and 12 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Richards Bay FC playing?

Richards Bay FC have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Kruger United vs Richards Bay FC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kruger against Richards Bay. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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