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Predictions › Conference League › KuPS Kuopio vs KAA Gent
Conference LeagueThu 5 Nov, 17:45 UTC

KuPS Kuopio vs KAA Gent prediction

Tammelan Stadion

KuPS KuopioHome
1.43 : 1.67
expected goals
KAA GentAway
32%KuPS Kuopio
25%Draw
43%KAA Gent
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for KuPS Kuopio vs KAA Gent is KAA Gent to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
KAA Gent to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
KuPS Kuopio 1.4, KAA Gent 1.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

KAA Gent to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.551 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives KuPS Kuopio 32%, the draw 25% and KAA Gent 43%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    KuPS Kuopio took 1 point from their last 5 games and KAA Gent took 12 from 5. KAA Gent come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    KuPS Kuopio won 1 of their last 5 games at home. KAA Gent won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    KuPS Kuopio score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. KAA Gent score 1.1 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of KuPS Kuopio games and 6 of KAA Gent games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • KuPS Kuopiorecent form-1%
  • KAA Gentrecent form+3%
  • KAA Gentrest between games-5%
KuPS Kuopio form D L W D LKAA Gent form D L W W WHome edge in this league 36% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

KuPS Kuopio vs KAA Gent: KAA Gent shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

KuPS Kuopio host KAA Gent in the Conference League on Thu 5 Nov, 17:45 at Tammelan Stadion. Our prediction for KuPS Kuopio vs KAA Gent is KAA Gent to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

KuPS Kuopio form

KuPS Kuopio have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 10 games, with 8 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

KAA Gent form

KAA Gent have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect KuPS Kuopio to score about 1.4 goals and KAA Gent about 1.7. That points to KAA Gent to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is KAA Gent to win and Over 2.5 at 3.55.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KuPS KuopioKAA Gent
Games played1020
Wins19
Draws47
Losses54
Goals scored823
Goals conceded1417
Scored per game0.81.1
Conceded per game1.40.8
Home record1W 2D 2L6W 4D 1L
Away record0W 2D 3L3W 3D 3L
Clean sheets20%45%
Both teams scored40%35%
Over 2.5 goals30%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.67
Over 3.5 goals37%2.68
Both teams to score62%1.61
KuPS Kuopio or Draw57%1.74
KAA Gent or Draw68%1.48
KuPS Kuopio to win and Over 2.522%4.56
KAA Gent to win and Over 2.529%3.40
KuPS Kuopio clean sheet19%5.29
KAA Gent clean sheet24%4.17

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
1-29.0%
2-17.7%
0-16.9%
2-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win KuPS Kuopio vs KAA Gent?

Our prediction for KuPS Kuopio vs KAA Gent is KAA Gent to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for KuPS Kuopio vs KAA Gent?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect KuPS Kuopio to score 1.4 goals and KAA Gent 1.7.

Will both teams score in KuPS Kuopio vs KAA Gent?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 4 of KuPS Kuopio last 10 games and 7 of KAA Gent last 20.

How are KuPS Kuopio playing?

KuPS Kuopio have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 10 games, with 8 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

How are KAA Gent playing?

KAA Gent have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for KuPS Kuopio vs KAA Gent?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in KuPS Kuopio against KAA Gent. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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