Predictions › Conference League › KuPS Kuopio vs Trabzonspor
Conference LeagueThu 15 Oct, 16:45 UTC

KuPS Kuopio vs Trabzonspor prediction

Tammelan Stadion

KuPS KuopioHome
0.93 : 1.88
expected goals
TrabzonsporAway
18%KuPS Kuopio
23%Draw
59%Trabzonspor
Eagle safe pickTrabzonspor or Draw
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for KuPS Kuopio vs Trabzonspor is Trabzonspor to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Trabzonspor or Draw at 1.25.

Prediction
Trabzonspor to win
Chance
59%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
KuPS Kuopio 0.9, Trabzonspor 1.9
Best bet
Trabzonspor or Draw at 1.25
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Trabzonspor or Draw
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Trabzonspor to win and Over 2.5
36% chanceFair price 2.791 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives KuPS Kuopio 18%, the draw 23% and Trabzonspor 59%. The bookmakers agree and make Trabzonspor the favourite at 1.48.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    KuPS Kuopio took 2 points from their last 5 games and Trabzonspor took 9 from 5. Trabzonspor come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    KuPS Kuopio won 1 of their last 4 games at home. Trabzonspor won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    KuPS Kuopio score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.0. Trabzonspor score 1.8 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of KuPS Kuopio games and 13 of Trabzonspor games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Trabzonspor or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • KuPS Kuopiorecent form-1%
  • Trabzonsporrecent form-1%
  • KuPS Kuopiorest between games-3%
KuPS Kuopio form W D L D LTrabzonspor form W L W L LHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

KuPS Kuopio vs Trabzonspor: Trabzonspor are favourites

The big picture

KuPS Kuopio host Trabzonspor in the Conference League on Thu 15 Oct, 16:45 at Tammelan Stadion. Our prediction for KuPS Kuopio vs Trabzonspor is Trabzonspor to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Trabzonspor or Draw at 1.25.

KuPS Kuopio form

KuPS Kuopio have 1 win, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 8 games, with 6 goals scored and 8 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Trabzonspor form

Trabzonspor have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect KuPS Kuopio to score about 0.9 goals and Trabzonspor about 1.9. That points to Trabzonspor to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Trabzonspor or Draw at 1.25. Our bold bet is Trabzonspor to win and Over 2.5 at 2.79.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KuPS KuopioTrabzonspor
Games played820
Wins111
Draws44
Losses35
Goals scored636
Goals conceded821
Scored per game0.81.8
Conceded per game1.01.1
Home record1W 2D 1L6W 2D 2L
Away record0W 2D 2L5W 2D 3L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored38%65%
Over 2.5 goals25%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
KuPS Kuopio to win17%5.796.00+3.6%
A Draw23%4.354.40+1.1%
Trabzonspor to win56%1.781.48-17.1%
Over 2.5 goals52%1.941.69-12.8%
Under 2.5 goals43%2.332.05-12.0%
KuPS Kuopio +1.559%1.691.53-9.6%
Trabzonspor -1.537%2.732.25-17.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.87
Over 3.5 goals31%3.21
Both teams to score52%1.92
KuPS Kuopio or Draw41%2.44
Trabzonspor or Draw82%1.21
KuPS Kuopio to win and Over 2.510%9.99
Trabzonspor to win and Over 2.538%2.64
KuPS Kuopio clean sheet15%6.58
Trabzonspor clean sheet39%2.54

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.1%
0-110.6%
0-210.6%
1-29.9%
0-36.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win KuPS Kuopio vs Trabzonspor?

Our prediction for KuPS Kuopio vs Trabzonspor is Trabzonspor to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Trabzonspor or Draw at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for KuPS Kuopio vs Trabzonspor?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-2. We expect KuPS Kuopio to score 0.9 goals and Trabzonspor 1.9.

Will both teams score in KuPS Kuopio vs Trabzonspor?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 3 of KuPS Kuopio last 8 games and 13 of Trabzonspor last 20.

How are KuPS Kuopio playing?

KuPS Kuopio have 1 win, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 8 games, with 6 goals scored and 8 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Trabzonspor playing?

Trabzonspor have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for KuPS Kuopio vs Trabzonspor?

Trabzonspor or Draw at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in KuPS Kuopio against Trabzonspor. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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