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Predictions › Belgium › KV Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen
Belgian Pro LeagueFri 23 Oct, 18:45 Belgium time

KV Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen prediction

Guldensporenstadion

KV KortrijkHome
1.26 : 1.23
expected goals
KV MechelenAway
36%KV Kortrijk
29%Draw
35%KV Mechelen
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for KV Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen is KV Kortrijk to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
KV Kortrijk to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
KV Kortrijk 1.3, KV Mechelen 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.341 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives KV Kortrijk 36%, the draw 29% and KV Mechelen 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    KV Kortrijk took 3 points from their last 5 games and KV Mechelen took 5 from 5. KV Mechelen come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    KV Kortrijk won 1 of their last 4 games at home. KV Mechelen won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    KV Kortrijk score 0.3 goals a game and let in 2.3. KV Mechelen score 1.0 and let in 2.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of KV Kortrijk games and 12 of KV Mechelen games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • KV Kortrijkrecent form-3%
  • KV Mechelenrecent form-3%
  • KV Mechelenrest between games-2%
KV Kortrijk form D W L L LKV Mechelen form D D L L DHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

KV Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen: KV Kortrijk shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

KV Kortrijk host KV Mechelen in the Belgian Pro League on Fri 23 Oct, 18:45 at Guldensporenstadion. Our prediction for KV Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen is KV Kortrijk to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

KV Kortrijk form

KV Kortrijk have 1 win, 0 draws and 7 losses in their last 8 games, with 2 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 3 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

KV Mechelen form

KV Mechelen have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 45 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect KV Kortrijk to score about 1.3 goals and KV Mechelen about 1.2. That points to KV Kortrijk to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.34.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KV KortrijkKV Mechelen
Games played820
Wins13
Draws06
Losses711
Goals scored220
Goals conceded1845
Scored per game0.31.0
Conceded per game2.32.3
Home record1W 0D 3L3W 2D 5L
Away record0W 0D 4L0W 4D 6L
Clean sheets13%15%
Both teams scored13%50%
Over 2.5 goals63%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.39
Over 2.5 goals45%2.21
Over 3.5 goals24%4.17
Both teams to score51%1.94
KV Kortrijk or Draw65%1.54
KV Mechelen or Draw64%1.57
KV Kortrijk to win and Over 2.520%4.97
KV Mechelen to win and Over 2.519%5.18
KV Kortrijk clean sheet29%3.42
KV Mechelen clean sheet28%3.52

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.6%
1-09.7%
0-19.4%
0-09.1%
2-18.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win KV Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen?

Our prediction for KV Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen is KV Kortrijk to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for KV Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect KV Kortrijk to score 1.3 goals and KV Mechelen 1.2.

Will both teams score in KV Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 1 of KV Kortrijk last 8 games and 10 of KV Mechelen last 20.

How are KV Kortrijk playing?

KV Kortrijk have 1 win, 0 draws and 7 losses in their last 8 games, with 2 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 3 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are KV Mechelen playing?

KV Mechelen have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 45 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for KV Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in KV Kortrijk against KV Mechelen. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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