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Predictions › Belgium › KV Mechelen vs Racing Genk
Belgian Pro LeagueSat 31 Oct, 15:00 Belgium time

KV Mechelen vs Racing Genk prediction

AFAS Stadion

KV MechelenHome
1.49 : 1.84
expected goals
Racing GenkAway
31%KV Mechelen
24%Draw
46%Genk
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for KV Mechelen vs Racing Genk is Racing Genk to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Racing Genk to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
KV Mechelen 1.5, Racing Genk 1.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Racing Genk to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.071 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives KV Mechelen 31%, the draw 24% and Racing Genk 46%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    KV Mechelen took 5 points from their last 5 games and Racing Genk took 8 from 5. Racing Genk come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    KV Mechelen won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Racing Genk won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    KV Mechelen score 1.0 goals a game and let in 2.3. Racing Genk score 1.6 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of KV Mechelen games and 10 of Racing Genk games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, KV Mechelen won 1 and Racing Genk won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended KV Mechelen 2, Racing Genk 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • KV Mechelenrecent form-3%
KV Mechelen form D D L L DGenk form D L D D WHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

KV Mechelen vs Racing Genk: Racing Genk are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

KV Mechelen host Racing Genk in the Belgian Pro League on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at AFAS Stadion. Our prediction for KV Mechelen vs Racing Genk is Racing Genk to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

KV Mechelen form

KV Mechelen have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 45 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Racing Genk form

Racing Genk have 7 wins, 10 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. KV Mechelen won 1, Racing Genk won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished KV Mechelen 2, Racing Genk 3.

Our call

We expect KV Mechelen to score about 1.5 goals and Racing Genk about 1.8. That points to Racing Genk to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Racing Genk to win and Over 2.5 at 3.07.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KV MechelenGenk
Games played2020
Wins37
Draws610
Losses113
Goals scored2033
Goals conceded4524
Scored per game1.01.6
Conceded per game2.31.2
Home record3W 2D 5L4W 5D 0L
Away record0W 4D 6L3W 5D 3L
Clean sheets15%40%
Both teams scored50%50%
Over 2.5 goals60%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.18
Over 2.5 goals65%1.55
Over 3.5 goals43%2.35
Both teams to score66%1.52
KV Mechelen or Draw54%1.83
Racing Genk or Draw69%1.44
KV Mechelen to win and Over 2.522%4.54
Racing Genk to win and Over 2.533%2.99
KV Mechelen clean sheet16%6.29
Racing Genk clean sheet23%4.42

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.4%
1-29.0%
2-17.3%
2-26.7%
0-26.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win KV Mechelen vs Racing Genk?

Our prediction for KV Mechelen vs Racing Genk is Racing Genk to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for KV Mechelen vs Racing Genk?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect KV Mechelen to score 1.5 goals and Racing Genk 1.8.

Will both teams score in KV Mechelen vs Racing Genk?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of KV Mechelen last 20 games and 10 of Racing Genk last 20.

How are KV Mechelen playing?

KV Mechelen have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 45 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Racing Genk playing?

Racing Genk have 7 wins, 10 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

What happened when KV Mechelen and Racing Genk last met?

It ended KV Mechelen 2, Racing Genk 3. In the last 2 meetings KV Mechelen won 1 and Racing Genk won 1.

What is the best bet for KV Mechelen vs Racing Genk?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in KV Mechelen against Genk. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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