Predictions › Belgium › KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp

Belgian Pro LeagueSun 11 Oct, 16:30 Belgium time

KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp prediction

Het Kuipje

KVC WesterloHome

1.65 : 1.42

expected goals

AntwerpAway

42%Westerlo

25%Draw

32%Antwerp

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp is KVC Westerlo to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction: KVC Westerlo to win
Chance: 42%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: KVC Westerlo 1.6, Antwerp 1.4
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score: 62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

79% chanceFair price 1.262 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

KVC Westerlo to win and Over 2.5

28% chanceFair price 3.541 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives KVC Westerlo 42%, the draw 25% and Antwerp 32%. The bookmakers agree and make KVC Westerlo the favourite at 2.05.
2
Recent form
KVC Westerlo took 10 points from their last 5 games and Antwerp took 1 from 5. KVC Westerlo come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
KVC Westerlo won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Antwerp won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
KVC Westerlo score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.8. Antwerp score 1.2 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of KVC Westerlo games and 11 of Antwerp games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings, KVC Westerlo won 1 and Antwerp won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Antwerp 2, KVC Westerlo 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Westerlorecent form+3%
Antwerprecent form-6%

Westerlo form W W W D LAntwerp form L L L L DHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp: KVC Westerlo shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

KVC Westerlo host Antwerp in the Belgian Pro League on Sun 11 Oct, 16:30 at Het Kuipje. Our prediction for KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp is KVC Westerlo to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

KVC Westerlo form

KVC Westerlo have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Antwerp form

Antwerp have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. KVC Westerlo won 1, Antwerp won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Antwerp 2, KVC Westerlo 0.

Our call

We expect KVC Westerlo to score about 1.6 goals and Antwerp about 1.4. That points to KVC Westerlo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is KVC Westerlo to win and Over 2.5 at 3.54.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Westerlo	Antwerp
Games played	20	20
Wins	8	6
Draws	3	4
Losses	9	10
Goals scored	31	24
Goals conceded	35	33
Scored per game	1.6	1.2
Conceded per game	1.8	1.6
Home record	2W 2D 5L	3W 2D 5L
Away record	6W 1D 4L	3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	35%	25%
Both teams scored	50%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	65%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
KVC Westerlo to win	40%	2.51	2.05	-18.4%
A Draw	25%	4.06	3.80	-6.5%
Antwerp to win	31%	3.20	3.05	-4.6%
Over 3.5 goals	38%	2.60	2.15	-17.4%
Under 3.5 goals	56%	1.80	1.61	-10.5%
KVC Westerlo -0.5	42%	2.35	1.95	-17.1%
Antwerp +0.5	52%	1.94	1.69	-12.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	82%	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	59%	1.69
Over 3.5 goals	37%	2.73
Both teams to score	62%	1.62
KVC Westerlo or Draw	68%	1.48
Antwerp or Draw	58%	1.74
KVC Westerlo to win and Over 2.5	29%	3.44
Antwerp to win and Over 2.5	22%	4.60
KVC Westerlo clean sheet	24%	4.12
Antwerp clean sheet	19%	5.19

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.6%

2-19.0%

1-27.7%

1-07.0%

2-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp?

Our prediction for KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp is KVC Westerlo to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect KVC Westerlo to score 1.6 goals and Antwerp 1.4.

Will both teams score in KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of KVC Westerlo last 20 games and 9 of Antwerp last 20.

How are KVC Westerlo playing?

How are Antwerp playing?

What happened when KVC Westerlo and Antwerp last met?

It ended Antwerp 2, KVC Westerlo 0. In the last 3 meetings KVC Westerlo won 1 and Antwerp won 2.

What is the best bet for KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Westerlo against Antwerp. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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