Predictions › Japan › Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima Antlers
J1 LeagueWed 21 Oct, 10:00 Japan time

Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima Antlers prediction

Sanga Stadium by Kyocera

Kyoto SangaHome
1.34 : 2.15
expected goals
Kashima AntlersAway
23%Kyoto Sanga
22%Draw
55%Kashima
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima Antlers is Kashima Antlers to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Kashima Antlers to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
Kyoto Sanga 1.3, Kashima Antlers 2.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kashima Antlers to win and Over 2.5
40% chanceFair price 2.491 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kyoto Sanga 23%, the draw 22% and Kashima Antlers 55%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kyoto Sanga took 4 points from their last 5 games and Kashima Antlers took 4 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kyoto Sanga won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Kashima Antlers won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kyoto Sanga score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.9. Kashima Antlers score 1.7 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Kyoto Sanga games and 9 of Kashima Antlers games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Kyoto Sanga won 0 and Kashima Antlers won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Kyoto Sanga 1, Kashima Antlers 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kyoto Sangarecent form-3%
  • Kashimarecent form-1%
  • Kyoto Sangarest between games-5%
  • Kashimarest between games-2%
Kyoto Sanga form D W L L LKashima form D D W L LHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima Antlers: Kashima Antlers are favourites

The big picture

Kyoto Sanga host Kashima Antlers in the J1 League on Wed 21 Oct, 10:00 at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera. Our prediction for Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima Antlers is Kashima Antlers to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Kyoto Sanga form

Kyoto Sanga have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Kashima Antlers form

Kashima Antlers have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Kyoto Sanga won 0, Kashima Antlers won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Kyoto Sanga 1, Kashima Antlers 1.

Our call

We expect Kyoto Sanga to score about 1.3 goals and Kashima Antlers about 2.1. That points to Kashima Antlers to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Kashima Antlers to win and Over 2.5 at 2.49.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Kyoto SangaKashima
Games played2020
Wins512
Draws43
Losses115
Goals scored2334
Goals conceded3825
Scored per game1.11.7
Conceded per game1.91.3
Home record3W 1D 6L7W 1D 1L
Away record2W 3D 5L5W 2D 4L
Clean sheets10%45%
Both teams scored60%45%
Over 2.5 goals60%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.15
Over 2.5 goals68%1.48
Over 3.5 goals46%2.17
Both teams to score66%1.52
Kyoto Sanga or Draw45%2.24
Kashima Antlers or Draw77%1.30
Kyoto Sanga to win and Over 2.517%6.01
Kashima Antlers to win and Over 2.542%2.36
Kyoto Sanga clean sheet12%8.58
Kashima Antlers clean sheet26%3.82

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.4%
1-19.3%
0-27.0%
1-36.8%
2-26.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima Antlers?

Our prediction for Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima Antlers is Kashima Antlers to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima Antlers?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-2. We expect Kyoto Sanga to score 1.3 goals and Kashima Antlers 2.1.

Will both teams score in Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima Antlers?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Kyoto Sanga last 20 games and 9 of Kashima Antlers last 20.

How are Kyoto Sanga playing?

Kyoto Sanga have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Kashima Antlers playing?

Kashima Antlers have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Kyoto Sanga and Kashima Antlers last met?

It ended Kyoto Sanga 1, Kashima Antlers 1. In the last 1 meeting Kyoto Sanga won 0 and Kashima Antlers won 0.

What is the best bet for Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima Antlers?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kyoto Sanga against Kashima. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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