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Predictions › Japan › Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse
J1 LeagueSat 31 Oct, 05:00 Japan time

Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse prediction

Sanga Stadium by Kyocera

Kyoto SangaHome
1.28 : 1.43
expected goals
Shimizu S-PulseAway
33%Kyoto Sanga
27%Draw
40%Shimizu
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse is Shimizu S-Pulse to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Shimizu S-Pulse to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Kyoto Sanga 1.3, Shimizu S-Pulse 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.751 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kyoto Sanga 33%, the draw 27% and Shimizu S-Pulse 40%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kyoto Sanga took 3 points from their last 5 games and Shimizu S-Pulse took 10 from 5. Shimizu S-Pulse come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kyoto Sanga won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Shimizu S-Pulse won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 goals a game and let in 2.0. Shimizu S-Pulse score 0.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Kyoto Sanga games and 8 of Shimizu S-Pulse games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Kyoto Sanga won 0 and Shimizu S-Pulse won 2 with 1 draw. The last one ended Kyoto Sanga 1, Shimizu S-Pulse 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Shimizurecent form+3%
Kyoto Sanga form D W L W LShimizu form D W W W LHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse: Shimizu S-Pulse shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kyoto Sanga host Shimizu S-Pulse in the J1 League on Sat 31 Oct, 05:00 at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera. Our prediction for Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse is Shimizu S-Pulse to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Kyoto Sanga form

Kyoto Sanga have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Shimizu S-Pulse form

Shimizu S-Pulse have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Kyoto Sanga won 0, Shimizu S-Pulse won 2 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Kyoto Sanga 1, Shimizu S-Pulse 2.

Our call

We expect Kyoto Sanga to score about 1.3 goals and Shimizu S-Pulse about 1.4. That points to Shimizu S-Pulse to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.75.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Kyoto SangaShimizu
Games played2020
Wins45
Draws46
Losses129
Goals scored1818
Goals conceded4027
Scored per game0.90.9
Conceded per game2.01.4
Home record2W 1D 6L2W 5D 5L
Away record2W 3D 6L3W 1D 4L
Clean sheets10%10%
Both teams scored55%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.31
Over 2.5 goals51%1.96
Over 3.5 goals29%3.46
Both teams to score56%1.79
Kyoto Sanga or Draw60%1.66
Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw67%1.49
Kyoto Sanga to win and Over 2.520%5.04
Shimizu S-Pulse to win and Over 2.524%4.12
Kyoto Sanga clean sheet24%4.18
Shimizu S-Pulse clean sheet28%3.61

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.9%
0-18.7%
1-28.7%
2-17.8%
1-07.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Our prediction for Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse is Shimizu S-Pulse to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Kyoto Sanga to score 1.3 goals and Shimizu S-Pulse 1.4.

Will both teams score in Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Kyoto Sanga last 20 games and 12 of Shimizu S-Pulse last 20.

How are Kyoto Sanga playing?

Kyoto Sanga have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Shimizu S-Pulse playing?

Shimizu S-Pulse have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Kyoto Sanga and Shimizu S-Pulse last met?

It ended Kyoto Sanga 1, Shimizu S-Pulse 2. In the last 3 meetings Kyoto Sanga won 0 and Shimizu S-Pulse won 2.

What is the best bet for Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kyoto Sanga against Shimizu. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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