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NBASat 21 Nov, 20:00 United States time

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks prediction

American Airlines Center

LA ClippersAway
115.5 : 115.6
projected points
Dallas MavericksHome
53%Clippers
47%Mavericks
Eagle safe pickClippers +8.5
-313

Quick answer

Our prediction for LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks is LA Clippers to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project LA Clippers 115.5 and Dallas Mavericks 115.6. Our best bet is Clippers +8.5 at -313.

Prediction
LA Clippers to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
LA Clippers 116, Dallas Mavericks 116
Projected total
231.1 points
Best bet
Clippers +8.5 at -313

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Clippers +8.5
76% chanceFair price -3132 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Dallas Mavericks 47% and LA Clippers 53%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Dallas Mavericks won 3 of their last 5 and LA Clippers won 1 of their last 5. Dallas Mavericks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Dallas Mavericks won 7 of their last 12 games at home. LA Clippers won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Dallas Mavericks score 116.7 points a game and let in 116.1. LA Clippers score 112.5 and let in 115.8. Their recent games average 232.8 and 228.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Dallas Mavericks won 1 and LA Clippers won 3. The last one ended LA Clippers 116, Dallas Mavericks 103.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Clippers +8.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mavericksrest between games-2%
  • Clippersrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks: LA Clippers shade it

The big picture

Dallas Mavericks host LA Clippers in the NBA on Sat 21 Nov, 20:00 at American Airlines Center. Our prediction for LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks is LA Clippers to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project LA Clippers 115.5 and Dallas Mavericks 115.6. Our best bet is Clippers +8.5 at -313.

Dallas Mavericks form

Dallas Mavericks have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2334 points scored and 2322 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

LA Clippers form

LA Clippers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2250 points scored and 2316 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Dallas Mavericks won 1, LA Clippers won 3. Last time out it finished LA Clippers 116, Dallas Mavericks 103.

Our call

We expect LA Clippers to score about 115.5 points and Dallas Mavericks about 115.6. That points to LA Clippers to win. Our safest bet is Clippers +8.5 at -313.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MavericksClippers
Games played2020
Wins107
Losses1013
Points scored23342250
Points conceded23222316
Scored per game116.7112.5
Conceded per game116.1115.8
Home record7W 5L6W 6L
Away record3W 5L1W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Mavericks spreadCoversFair
Mavericks -6.530%+230
Mavericks -3.539%+156
Mavericks -0.549%+106
Mavericks +2.558%-138
Mavericks +5.567%-204
Total pointsOverUnder
225.562%38%
228.556%44%
231.549%51%
234.543%57%
237.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Mavericks +3.5 wins if Mavericks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks?

Our prediction for LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks is LA Clippers to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project LA Clippers 115.5 and Dallas Mavericks 115.6. Our best bet is Clippers +8.5 at -313.

What is the projected score for LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks?

We project LA Clippers 115.5 and Dallas Mavericks 115.6, about 231.1 points in total.

How are Dallas Mavericks playing?

Dallas Mavericks have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2334 points scored and 2322 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are LA Clippers playing?

LA Clippers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2250 points scored and 2316 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Dallas Mavericks and LA Clippers last met?

It ended LA Clippers 116, Dallas Mavericks 103. In the last 4 meetings Dallas Mavericks won 1 and LA Clippers won 3.

What is the best bet for LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks?

Clippers +8.5 at -313, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mavericks against Clippers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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