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Predictions › United States › LA Galaxy vs Austin FC
MLSSat 31 Oct, 17:00 United States time

LA Galaxy vs Austin FC prediction

Dignity Health Sports Park

LA GalaxyHome
1.88 : 1.03
expected goals
Austin FCAway
56%LA Galaxy
24%Draw
20%Austin
Eagle safe pickLA Galaxy or Draw
-388

Quick answer

Our prediction for LA Galaxy vs Austin FC is LA Galaxy to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is LA Galaxy or Draw at -388.

Prediction
LA Galaxy to win
Chance
56%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
LA Galaxy 1.9, Austin FC 1.0
Best bet
LA Galaxy or Draw at -388
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

LA Galaxy or Draw
80% chanceFair price -3882 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

LA Galaxy to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price +1681 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives LA Galaxy 56%, the draw 24% and Austin FC 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    LA Galaxy took 10 points from their last 5 games and Austin FC took 2 from 5. LA Galaxy come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    LA Galaxy won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Austin FC won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    LA Galaxy score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.8. Austin FC score 1.2 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of LA Galaxy games and 14 of Austin FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, LA Galaxy won 1 and Austin FC won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Austin FC 1, LA Galaxy 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    LA Galaxy or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • LA Galaxyrecent form+3%
  • Austinrecent form-3%
LA Galaxy form D W L W WAustin form D L L D DHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

LA Galaxy vs Austin FC: LA Galaxy are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

LA Galaxy host Austin FC in the MLS on Sat 31 Oct, 17:00 at Dignity Health Sports Park. Our prediction for LA Galaxy vs Austin FC is LA Galaxy to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is LA Galaxy or Draw at -388.

LA Galaxy form

LA Galaxy have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Austin FC form

Austin FC have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. LA Galaxy won 1, Austin FC won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Austin FC 1, LA Galaxy 2.

Our call

We expect LA Galaxy to score about 1.9 goals and Austin FC about 1.0. That points to LA Galaxy to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is LA Galaxy or Draw at -388. Our bold bet is LA Galaxy to win and Over 2.5 at +168.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LA GalaxyAustin
Games played2020
Wins75
Draws66
Losses79
Goals scored2724
Goals conceded3537
Scored per game1.41.2
Conceded per game1.81.9
Home record4W 4D 2L2W 4D 4L
Away record3W 2D 5L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets20%10%
Both teams scored65%70%
Over 2.5 goals60%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%-383
Over 2.5 goals56%-125
Over 3.5 goals33%+201
Both teams to score55%-123
LA Galaxy or Draw80%-402
Austin FC or Draw44%+129
LA Galaxy to win and Over 2.537%+169
Austin FC to win and Over 2.512%+734
LA Galaxy clean sheet36%+181
Austin FC clean sheet15%+552

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.2%
2-19.9%
1-09.6%
2-09.6%
3-16.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win LA Galaxy vs Austin FC?

Our prediction for LA Galaxy vs Austin FC is LA Galaxy to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is LA Galaxy or Draw at -388.

What is the score prediction for LA Galaxy vs Austin FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect LA Galaxy to score 1.9 goals and Austin FC 1.0.

Will both teams score in LA Galaxy vs Austin FC?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of LA Galaxy last 20 games and 14 of Austin FC last 20.

How are LA Galaxy playing?

LA Galaxy have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Austin FC playing?

Austin FC have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

What happened when LA Galaxy and Austin FC last met?

It ended Austin FC 1, LA Galaxy 2. In the last 1 meeting LA Galaxy won 1 and Austin FC won 0.

What is the best bet for LA Galaxy vs Austin FC?

LA Galaxy or Draw at -388, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in LA Galaxy against Austin. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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