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Predictions › United States › LA Galaxy vs Portland Timbers
MLSWed 14 Oct, 22:30 United States time

LA Galaxy vs Portland Timbers prediction

Dignity Health Sports Park

LA GalaxyHome
1.68 : 1.16
expected goals
Portland TimbersAway
49%LA Galaxy
25%Draw
26%Portland
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-328

Quick answer

Our prediction for LA Galaxy vs Portland Timbers is LA Galaxy to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -328.

Prediction
LA Galaxy to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
LA Galaxy 1.7, Portland Timbers 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -328
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price -3282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

LA Galaxy to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price +2241 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives LA Galaxy 49%, the draw 25% and Portland Timbers 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    LA Galaxy took 10 points from their last 5 games and Portland Timbers took 4 from 5. LA Galaxy come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    LA Galaxy won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Portland Timbers won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    LA Galaxy score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. Portland Timbers score 1.9 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of LA Galaxy games and 15 of Portland Timbers games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, LA Galaxy won 0 and Portland Timbers won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Portland Timbers 1, LA Galaxy 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • LA Galaxyrecent form+3%
  • Portlandrecent form-3%
LA Galaxy form W W D L WPortland form L L L D WHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

LA Galaxy vs Portland Timbers: LA Galaxy are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

LA Galaxy host Portland Timbers in the MLS on Wed 14 Oct, 22:30 at Dignity Health Sports Park. Our prediction for LA Galaxy vs Portland Timbers is LA Galaxy to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -328.

LA Galaxy form

LA Galaxy have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Portland Timbers form

Portland Timbers have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. LA Galaxy won 0, Portland Timbers won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Portland Timbers 1, LA Galaxy 1.

Our call

We expect LA Galaxy to score about 1.7 goals and Portland Timbers about 1.2. That points to LA Galaxy to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -328. Our bold bet is LA Galaxy to win and Over 2.5 at +224.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LA GalaxyPortland
Games played2020
Wins77
Draws64
Losses79
Goals scored2537
Goals conceded3135
Scored per game1.31.9
Conceded per game1.61.8
Home record4W 4D 2L5W 2D 3L
Away record3W 2D 5L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets15%5%
Both teams scored70%75%
Over 2.5 goals60%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%-360
Over 2.5 goals54%-117
Over 3.5 goals32%+215
Both teams to score56%-130
LA Galaxy or Draw75%-292
Portland Timbers or Draw51%-104
LA Galaxy to win and Over 2.532%+217
Portland Timbers to win and Over 2.516%+544
LA Galaxy clean sheet31%+218
Portland Timbers clean sheet19%+439

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
2-19.6%
1-09.2%
2-08.3%
1-26.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win LA Galaxy vs Portland Timbers?

Our prediction for LA Galaxy vs Portland Timbers is LA Galaxy to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -328.

What is the score prediction for LA Galaxy vs Portland Timbers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect LA Galaxy to score 1.7 goals and Portland Timbers 1.2.

Will both teams score in LA Galaxy vs Portland Timbers?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of LA Galaxy last 20 games and 15 of Portland Timbers last 20.

How are LA Galaxy playing?

LA Galaxy have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Portland Timbers playing?

Portland Timbers have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, W, newest first.

What happened when LA Galaxy and Portland Timbers last met?

It ended Portland Timbers 1, LA Galaxy 1. In the last 1 meeting LA Galaxy won 0 and Portland Timbers won 0.

What is the best bet for LA Galaxy vs Portland Timbers?

Over 1.5 goals at -328, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in LA Galaxy against Portland. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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