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Predictions › United States › LAFC vs LA Galaxy
MLSSun 25 Oct, 21:00 United States time

LAFC vs LA Galaxy prediction

BMO Stadium

LAFCHome
2.04 : 0.97
expected goals
LA GalaxyAway
62%LAFC
22%Draw
17%LA Galaxy
Eagle safe pickLAFC or Draw
-461

Quick answer

Our prediction for LAFC vs LA Galaxy is LAFC to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is LAFC or Draw at -461.

Prediction
LAFC to win
Chance
62%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
LAFC 2.0, LA Galaxy 1.0
Best bet
LAFC or Draw at -461
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

LAFC or Draw
82% chanceFair price -4612 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

LAFC to win and Over 2.5
43% chanceFair price +1341 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives LAFC 62%, the draw 22% and LA Galaxy 17%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    LAFC took 5 points from their last 5 games and LA Galaxy took 10 from 5. LA Galaxy come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    LAFC won 5 of their last 9 games at home. LA Galaxy won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    LAFC score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. LA Galaxy score 1.3 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of LAFC games and 11 of LA Galaxy games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, LAFC won 1 and LA Galaxy won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended LA Galaxy 0, LAFC 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    LAFC or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • LAFCrecent form-3%
  • LA Galaxyrecent form+1%
  • LAFCrest between games-5%
  • LA Galaxyrest between games-5%
LAFC form D D L D LLA Galaxy form D L W W DHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

LAFC vs LA Galaxy: LAFC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

LAFC host LA Galaxy in the MLS on Sun 25 Oct, 21:00 at BMO Stadium. Our prediction for LAFC vs LA Galaxy is LAFC to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is LAFC or Draw at -461.

LAFC form

LAFC have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, L, newest first.

LA Galaxy form

LA Galaxy have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. LAFC won 1, LA Galaxy won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished LA Galaxy 0, LAFC 3.

Our call

We expect LAFC to score about 2.0 goals and LA Galaxy about 1.0. That points to LAFC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is LAFC or Draw at -461. Our bold bet is LAFC to win and Over 2.5 at +134.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LAFCLA Galaxy
Games played2020
Wins67
Draws66
Losses87
Goals scored2826
Goals conceded2834
Scored per game1.41.3
Conceded per game1.41.7
Home record5W 2D 2L4W 4D 2L
Away record1W 4D 6L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets25%20%
Both teams scored55%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%-420
Over 2.5 goals58%-137
Over 3.5 goals35%+182
Both teams to score55%-120
LAFC or Draw83%-505
LA Galaxy or Draw38%+160
LAFC to win and Over 2.542%+139
LA Galaxy to win and Over 2.510%+899
LAFC clean sheet38%+163
LA Galaxy clean sheet13%+669

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.3%
2-010.3%
2-19.9%
1-09.5%
3-07.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win LAFC vs LA Galaxy?

Our prediction for LAFC vs LA Galaxy is LAFC to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is LAFC or Draw at -461.

What is the score prediction for LAFC vs LA Galaxy?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 2-1. We expect LAFC to score 2.0 goals and LA Galaxy 1.0.

Will both teams score in LAFC vs LA Galaxy?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of LAFC last 20 games and 13 of LA Galaxy last 20.

How are LAFC playing?

LAFC have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, L, newest first.

How are LA Galaxy playing?

LA Galaxy have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when LAFC and LA Galaxy last met?

It ended LA Galaxy 0, LAFC 3. In the last 1 meeting LAFC won 1 and LA Galaxy won 0.

What is the best bet for LAFC vs LA Galaxy?

LAFC or Draw at -461, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in LAFC against LA Galaxy. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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