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Predictions › United States › LAFC vs Minnesota United FC
MLSSun 1 Nov, 20:30 United States time

LAFC vs Minnesota United FC prediction

BMO Stadium

LAFCHome
2.35 : 1.20
expected goals
Minnesota United FCAway
63%LAFC
20%Draw
18%Minnesota
Eagle safe pickLAFC or Draw
-455

Quick answer

Our prediction for LAFC vs Minnesota United FC is LAFC to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is LAFC or Draw at -455.

Prediction
LAFC to win
Chance
63%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
LAFC 2.4, Minnesota United FC 1.2
Best bet
LAFC or Draw at -455
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

LAFC or Draw
82% chanceFair price -4552 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

LAFC to win and both score
35% chanceFair price +1861 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives LAFC 63%, the draw 20% and Minnesota United FC 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    LAFC took 6 points from their last 5 games and Minnesota United FC took 5 from 5. LAFC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    LAFC won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Minnesota United FC won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    LAFC score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.3. Minnesota United FC score 1.8 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of LAFC games and 15 of Minnesota United FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, LAFC won 1 and Minnesota United FC won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Minnesota United FC 0, LAFC 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    LAFC or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Minnesotarecent form-3%
LAFC form D W D L DMinnesota form D D D L LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

LAFC vs Minnesota United FC: LAFC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

LAFC host Minnesota United FC in the MLS on Sun 1 Nov, 20:30 at BMO Stadium. Our prediction for LAFC vs Minnesota United FC is LAFC to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is LAFC or Draw at -455.

LAFC form

LAFC have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, D, newest first.

Minnesota United FC form

Minnesota United FC have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. LAFC won 1, Minnesota United FC won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Minnesota United FC 0, LAFC 1.

Our call

We expect LAFC to score about 2.4 goals and Minnesota United FC about 1.2. That points to LAFC to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is LAFC or Draw at -455. Our bold bet is LAFC to win and both score at +186.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LAFCMinnesota
Games played2020
Wins63
Draws78
Losses79
Goals scored2936
Goals conceded2541
Scored per game1.41.8
Conceded per game1.32.0
Home record5W 2D 2L1W 6D 4L
Away record1W 5D 5L2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets25%5%
Both teams scored60%90%
Over 2.5 goals50%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%-694
Over 2.5 goals69%-221
Over 3.5 goals47%+111
Both teams to score64%-175
LAFC or Draw82%-467
Minnesota United FC or Draw37%+167
LAFC to win and Over 2.548%+107
Minnesota United FC to win and Over 2.513%+692
LAFC clean sheet30%+231
Minnesota United FC clean sheet10%+951

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.5%
1-18.6%
2-08.0%
3-17.5%
1-06.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win LAFC vs Minnesota United FC?

Our prediction for LAFC vs Minnesota United FC is LAFC to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is LAFC or Draw at -455.

What is the score prediction for LAFC vs Minnesota United FC?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect LAFC to score 2.4 goals and Minnesota United FC 1.2.

Will both teams score in LAFC vs Minnesota United FC?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of LAFC last 20 games and 18 of Minnesota United FC last 20.

How are LAFC playing?

LAFC have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, D, newest first.

How are Minnesota United FC playing?

Minnesota United FC have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when LAFC and Minnesota United FC last met?

It ended Minnesota United FC 0, LAFC 1. In the last 1 meeting LAFC won 1 and Minnesota United FC won 0.

What is the best bet for LAFC vs Minnesota United FC?

LAFC or Draw at -455, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in LAFC against Minnesota. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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