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Predictions › United States › LAFC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
MLSSat 10 Oct, 22:30 United States time

LAFC vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction

BMO Stadium

LAFCHome
1.33 : 1.34
expected goals
Vancouver WhitecapsAway
36%LAFC
27%Draw
37%Vancouver
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-307

Quick answer

Our prediction for LAFC vs Vancouver Whitecaps is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -307.

Prediction
Vancouver Whitecaps to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
LAFC 1.3, Vancouver Whitecaps 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -307
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price -3072 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price +6641 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives LAFC 36%, the draw 27% and Vancouver Whitecaps 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    LAFC took 5 points from their last 5 games and Vancouver Whitecaps took 7 from 5. Vancouver Whitecaps come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    LAFC won 5 of their last 8 games at home. Vancouver Whitecaps won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    LAFC score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Vancouver Whitecaps score 2.1 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of LAFC games and 12 of Vancouver Whitecaps games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, LAFC won 0 and Vancouver Whitecaps won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Vancouver Whitecaps 1, LAFC 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • LAFCrecent form-1%
LAFC form L D L W DVancouver form D W L W LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

LAFC vs Vancouver Whitecaps: Vancouver Whitecaps shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

LAFC host Vancouver Whitecaps in the MLS on Sat 10 Oct, 22:30 at BMO Stadium. Our prediction for LAFC vs Vancouver Whitecaps is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -307.

LAFC form

LAFC have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

Vancouver Whitecaps form

Vancouver Whitecaps have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. LAFC won 0, Vancouver Whitecaps won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Vancouver Whitecaps 1, LAFC 1.

Our call

We expect LAFC to score about 1.3 goals and Vancouver Whitecaps about 1.3. That points to Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -307. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at +664.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LAFCVancouver
Games played2020
Wins610
Draws65
Losses85
Goals scored2842
Goals conceded2922
Scored per game1.42.1
Conceded per game1.41.1
Home record5W 1D 2L5W 2D 3L
Away record1W 5D 6L5W 3D 2L
Clean sheets25%40%
Both teams scored55%50%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%-304
Over 2.5 goals50%+101
Over 3.5 goals28%+259
Both teams to score55%-122
LAFC or Draw63%-174
Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw64%-178
LAFC to win and Over 2.521%+368
Vancouver Whitecaps to win and Over 2.522%+360
LAFC clean sheet26%+282
Vancouver Whitecaps clean sheet27%+277

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
0-18.6%
1-08.5%
1-28.3%
2-18.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win LAFC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Our prediction for LAFC vs Vancouver Whitecaps is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -307.

What is the score prediction for LAFC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-0. We expect LAFC to score 1.3 goals and Vancouver Whitecaps 1.3.

Will both teams score in LAFC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of LAFC last 20 games and 10 of Vancouver Whitecaps last 20.

How are LAFC playing?

LAFC have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Vancouver Whitecaps playing?

Vancouver Whitecaps have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when LAFC and Vancouver Whitecaps last met?

It ended Vancouver Whitecaps 1, LAFC 1. In the last 2 meetings LAFC won 0 and Vancouver Whitecaps won 0.

What is the best bet for LAFC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Over 1.5 goals at -307, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in LAFC against Vancouver. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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