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Predictions › Argentina › Lanús vs Gimnasia (Mendoza)
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 1 Nov, 23:45 Argentina time

Lanús vs Gimnasia (Mendoza) prediction

Ciudad de Lanús

LanúsHome
1.58 : 0.64
expected goals
Gimnasia (Mendoza)Away
60%Lanús
26%Draw
14%Gimnasia (M)
Eagle safe pickLanús or Draw
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Lanús vs Gimnasia (Mendoza) is Lanús to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Lanús or Draw at 1.17.

Prediction
Lanús to win
Chance
60%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Lanús 1.6, Gimnasia (Mendoza) 0.6
Best bet
Lanús or Draw at 1.17
Both teams to score
38%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Lanús or Draw
85% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Lanús to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.561 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Lanús 60%, the draw 26% and Gimnasia (Mendoza) 14%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Lanús took 13 points from their last 5 games and Gimnasia (Mendoza) took 4 from 5. Lanús come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Lanús won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Gimnasia (Mendoza) won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Lanús score 0.9 goals a game and let in 0.8. Gimnasia (Mendoza) score 1.2 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Lanús games and 9 of Gimnasia (Mendoza) games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Lanús won 0 and Gimnasia (Mendoza) won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Gimnasia (Mendoza) 1, Lanús 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Lanús or Draw has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Lanús recent form+4%
  • Gimnasia (M)recent form-3%
Lanús form D W D W WGimnasia (M) form L W L D LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Lanús vs Gimnasia (Mendoza): Lanús are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Lanús host Gimnasia (Mendoza) in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 1 Nov, 23:45 at Ciudad de Lanús. Our prediction for Lanús vs Gimnasia (Mendoza) is Lanús to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Lanús or Draw at 1.17.

Lanús form

Lanús have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Gimnasia (Mendoza) form

Gimnasia (Mendoza) have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Lanús won 0, Gimnasia (Mendoza) won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Gimnasia (Mendoza) 1, Lanús 0.

Our call

We expect Lanús to score about 1.6 goals and Gimnasia (Mendoza) about 0.6. That points to Lanús to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Lanús or Draw at 1.17. Our bold bet is Lanús to win and Over 2.5 at 3.56.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Lanús Gimnasia (M)
Games played2020
Wins99
Draws43
Losses78
Goals scored1824
Goals conceded1725
Scored per game0.91.2
Conceded per game0.81.3
Home record6W 3D 2L7W 2D 1L
Away record3W 1D 5L2W 1D 7L
Clean sheets55%30%
Both teams scored20%40%
Over 2.5 goals30%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals66%1.53
Over 2.5 goals38%2.62
Over 3.5 goals18%5.45
Both teams to score38%2.63
Lanús or Draw86%1.17
Gimnasia (Mendoza) or Draw40%2.47
Lanús to win and Over 2.529%3.41
Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win and Over 2.56%17.61
Lanús clean sheet53%1.89
Gimnasia (Mendoza) clean sheet21%4.85

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-016.6%
2-013.6%
1-111.6%
0-011.6%
2-18.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Lanús vs Gimnasia (Mendoza)?

Our prediction for Lanús vs Gimnasia (Mendoza) is Lanús to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Lanús or Draw at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Lanús vs Gimnasia (Mendoza)?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Lanús to score 1.6 goals and Gimnasia (Mendoza) 0.6.

Will both teams score in Lanús vs Gimnasia (Mendoza)?

Both teams to score has a 38% chance. Both sides scored in 4 of Lanús last 20 games and 8 of Gimnasia (Mendoza) last 20.

How are Lanús playing?

Lanús have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Gimnasia (Mendoza) playing?

Gimnasia (Mendoza) have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Lanús and Gimnasia (Mendoza) last met?

It ended Gimnasia (Mendoza) 1, Lanús 0. In the last 1 meeting Lanús won 0 and Gimnasia (Mendoza) won 1.

What is the best bet for Lanús vs Gimnasia (Mendoza)?

Lanús or Draw at 1.17, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Lanús against Gimnasia (M). A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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