EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Spain › Las Palmas vs Castellón
LaLiga 2Sat 17 Oct, 19:00 Spain time

Las Palmas vs Castellón prediction

Estadio Gran Canaria

Las PalmasHome
1.12 : 1.23
expected goals
CastellónAway
33%Las Palmas
30%Draw
38%Castellón
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Las Palmas vs Castellón is Castellón to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Castellón to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Las Palmas 1.1, Castellón 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.181 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Las Palmas 33%, the draw 30% and Castellón 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Las Palmas took 5 points from their last 5 games and Castellón took 13 from 5. Castellón come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Las Palmas won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Castellón won 6 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Las Palmas score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Castellón score 1.9 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Las Palmas games and 10 of Castellón games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Las Palmas won 0 and Castellón won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Las Palmas 1, Castellón 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Las Palmasrecent form-1%
  • Castellónrecent form+6%
Las Palmas form D L L W DCastellón form D W W W WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Las Palmas vs Castellón: Castellón shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Las Palmas host Castellón in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 17 Oct, 19:00 at Estadio Gran Canaria. Our prediction for Las Palmas vs Castellón is Castellón to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Las Palmas form

Las Palmas have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Castellón form

Castellón have 12 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Las Palmas won 0, Castellón won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Las Palmas 1, Castellón 1.

Our call

We expect Las Palmas to score about 1.1 goals and Castellón about 1.2. That points to Castellón to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.18.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Las PalmasCastellón
Games played2020
Wins1012
Draws46
Losses62
Goals scored2937
Goals conceded2819
Scored per game1.41.9
Conceded per game1.40.9
Home record5W 3D 2L6W 4D 1L
Away record5W 1D 4L6W 2D 1L
Clean sheets25%35%
Both teams scored65%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%1.45
Over 2.5 goals42%2.40
Over 3.5 goals21%4.74
Both teams to score48%2.06
Las Palmas or Draw62%1.61
Castellón or Draw67%1.48
Las Palmas to win and Over 2.517%5.99
Castellón to win and Over 2.520%5.06
Las Palmas clean sheet29%3.42
Castellón clean sheet33%3.07

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.9%
0-110.9%
0-010.3%
1-09.9%
1-28.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Las Palmas vs Castellón?

Our prediction for Las Palmas vs Castellón is Castellón to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Las Palmas vs Castellón?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Las Palmas to score 1.1 goals and Castellón 1.2.

Will both teams score in Las Palmas vs Castellón?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Las Palmas last 20 games and 13 of Castellón last 20.

How are Las Palmas playing?

Las Palmas have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Castellón playing?

Castellón have 12 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Las Palmas and Castellón last met?

It ended Las Palmas 1, Castellón 1. In the last 2 meetings Las Palmas won 0 and Castellón won 1.

What is the best bet for Las Palmas vs Castellón?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Las Palmas against Castellón. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.