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Predictions › Spain › Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II
LaLiga 2Sat 24 Oct, 16:30 Spain time

Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II prediction

Estadio Gran Canaria

Las PalmasHome
1.70 : 1.04
expected goals
Real Sociedad IIAway
52%Las Palmas
25%Draw
22%Real Sociedad II
Eagle safe pickLas Palmas or Draw
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II is Las Palmas to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Las Palmas or Draw at 1.31.

Prediction
Las Palmas to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Las Palmas 1.7, Real Sociedad II 1.0
Best bet
Las Palmas or Draw at 1.31
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Las Palmas or Draw
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Las Palmas to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.231 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Las Palmas 52%, the draw 25% and Real Sociedad II 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Las Palmas took 4 points from their last 5 games and Real Sociedad II took 3 from 5. Las Palmas come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Las Palmas won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Real Sociedad II won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Las Palmas score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. Real Sociedad II score 1.0 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Las Palmas games and 11 of Real Sociedad II games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Las Palmas won 1 and Real Sociedad II won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Real Sociedad II 1, Las Palmas 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Las Palmas or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Las Palmasrecent form-3%
  • Real Sociedad IIrecent form-3%
Las Palmas form L D L L WReal Sociedad II form D L L L WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: Las Palmas are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Las Palmas host Real Sociedad II in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 24 Oct, 16:30 at Estadio Gran Canaria. Our prediction for Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II is Las Palmas to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Las Palmas or Draw at 1.31.

Las Palmas form

Las Palmas have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Real Sociedad II form

Real Sociedad II have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Las Palmas won 1, Real Sociedad II won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Real Sociedad II 1, Las Palmas 1.

Our call

We expect Las Palmas to score about 1.7 goals and Real Sociedad II about 1.0. That points to Las Palmas to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Las Palmas or Draw at 1.31. Our bold bet is Las Palmas to win and Over 2.5 at 3.23.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Las PalmasReal Sociedad II
Games played2020
Wins93
Draws46
Losses711
Goals scored2820
Goals conceded3135
Scored per game1.41.0
Conceded per game1.61.8
Home record4W 3D 2L0W 4D 5L
Away record5W 1D 5L3W 2D 6L
Clean sheets20%10%
Both teams scored70%65%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.94
Over 3.5 goals29%3.39
Both teams to score53%1.87
Las Palmas or Draw78%1.29
Real Sociedad II or Draw48%2.10
Las Palmas to win and Over 2.533%3.06
Real Sociedad II to win and Over 2.513%7.79
Las Palmas clean sheet35%2.82
Real Sociedad II clean sheet18%5.50

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
1-010.3%
2-19.7%
2-09.4%
0-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?

Our prediction for Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II is Las Palmas to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Las Palmas or Draw at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Las Palmas to score 1.7 goals and Real Sociedad II 1.0.

Will both teams score in Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Las Palmas last 20 games and 13 of Real Sociedad II last 20.

How are Las Palmas playing?

Las Palmas have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Real Sociedad II playing?

Real Sociedad II have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Las Palmas and Real Sociedad II last met?

It ended Real Sociedad II 1, Las Palmas 1. In the last 2 meetings Las Palmas won 1 and Real Sociedad II won 0.

What is the best bet for Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?

Las Palmas or Draw at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Las Palmas against Real Sociedad II. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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