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Predictions › United States › Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos
NFLSun 22 Nov, 16:25 United States time

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos prediction

Empower Field at Mile High

Las Vegas RaidersAway
17.6 : 25.8
projected points
Denver BroncosHome
23%Raiders
77%Broncos
Eagle safe pickBroncos to win
-441

Quick answer

Our prediction for Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos is Denver Broncos to win, with a 77% chance. We project Las Vegas Raiders 17.6 and Denver Broncos 25.8. Our best bet is Broncos to win at -441.

Prediction
Denver Broncos to win
Chance
77%
Projected score
Las Vegas Raiders 18, Denver Broncos 26
Projected total
43.4 points
Best bet
Broncos to win at -441

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Broncos to win
77% chancePrice -4411 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Denver Broncos 77% and Las Vegas Raiders 23%. The bookmakers agree and make Denver Broncos the favourite at -441.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Denver Broncos won 5 of their last 5 and Las Vegas Raiders won 1 of their last 5. Denver Broncos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Denver Broncos won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Las Vegas Raiders won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Denver Broncos score 22.8 points a game and let in 19.6. Las Vegas Raiders score 19.4 and let in 27.3. Their recent games average 42.4 and 46.6 points in total, and the market line is 41.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Denver Broncos won 2 and Las Vegas Raiders won 0. The last one ended Las Vegas Raiders 17, Denver Broncos 24.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Broncos to win has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos: Denver Broncos are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Denver Broncos host Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL on Sun 22 Nov, 16:25 at Empower Field at Mile High. Our prediction for Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos is Denver Broncos to win, with a 77% chance. We project Las Vegas Raiders 17.6 and Denver Broncos 25.8. Our best bet is Broncos to win at -441.

Denver Broncos form

Denver Broncos have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 456 points scored and 391 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Las Vegas Raiders form

Las Vegas Raiders have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 388 points scored and 545 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Denver Broncos won 2, Las Vegas Raiders won 0. Last time out it finished Las Vegas Raiders 17, Denver Broncos 24.

Our call

We expect Las Vegas Raiders to score about 17.6 points and Denver Broncos about 25.8. That points to Denver Broncos to win. Our safest bet is Broncos to win at -441.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BroncosRaiders
Games played2020
Wins156
Losses514
Points scored456388
Points conceded391545
Scored per game22.819.4
Conceded per game19.627.3
Home record8W 3L2W 9L
Away record7W 2L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Broncos to win77%-334-441-5.5%
Raiders to win23%+344+340-0.8%
Broncos -8.546%+117-110-12.1%
Raiders +8.547%+112-110-10.0%
Over 41.5 points51%-104-110-2.5%
Under 41.5 points42%+137-110-19.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Broncos spreadCoversFair
Broncos -15.530%+238
Broncos -11.540%+147
Broncos -8.549%+103
Broncos -5.558%-139
Broncos -1.569%-224
Total pointsOverUnder
36.570%30%
40.559%41%
43.550%50%
46.541%59%
50.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Broncos +3.5 wins if Broncos win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NFL

Broncos Pull Out of Trade for Linebacker Daiyan Henley

Denver will not finalize its trade with the Los Angeles Chargers for linebacker Daiyan Henley after pulling out before the deadline.

23 hours ago
NFL

Broncos Acquire Linebacker Daiyan Henley From Chargers

The Denver Broncos acquired linebacker Daiyan Henley in a deadline trade with the Los Angeles Chargers for two future draft picks.

10 Nov 2026
NFL

Raiders Coach Backs DC Rob Leonard After Sixth Loss

Las Vegas Raiders coach Klint Kubiak is keeping defensive coordinator Rob Leonard despite giving up 30 points or more in six straight games.

9 Nov 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos?

Our prediction for Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos is Denver Broncos to win, with a 77% chance. We project Las Vegas Raiders 17.6 and Denver Broncos 25.8. Our best bet is Broncos to win at -441.

What is the projected score for Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos?

We project Las Vegas Raiders 17.6 and Denver Broncos 25.8, about 43.4 points in total.

How are Denver Broncos playing?

Denver Broncos have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 456 points scored and 391 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Las Vegas Raiders playing?

Las Vegas Raiders have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 388 points scored and 545 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Denver Broncos and Las Vegas Raiders last met?

It ended Las Vegas Raiders 17, Denver Broncos 24. In the last 2 meetings Denver Broncos won 2 and Las Vegas Raiders won 0.

What is the best bet for Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos?

Broncos to win at -441, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Broncos against Raiders. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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