Predictions › Champions League › LASK Linz vs Slovan Bratislava
Champions LeagueTue 3 Nov, 20:00 UTC

LASK Linz vs Slovan Bratislava prediction

Raiffeisen Arena (Linz)

LASK LinzHome
2.57 : 1.11
expected goals
Slovan BratislavaAway
69%LASK Linz
18%Draw
14%S Bratislava
Eagle safe pickLASK Linz to win
1.43

Quick answer

Our prediction for LASK Linz vs Slovan Bratislava is LASK Linz to win, with a 69% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is LASK Linz to win at 1.43.

Prediction
LASK Linz to win
Chance
69%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
LASK Linz 2.6, Slovan Bratislava 1.1
Best bet
LASK Linz to win at 1.43
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

LASK Linz to win
69% chancePrice 1.431 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

LASK Linz to win and both score
38% chanceFair price 2.651 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives LASK Linz 69%, the draw 18% and Slovan Bratislava 14%. The bookmakers agree and make LASK Linz the favourite at 1.43.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    LASK Linz took 7 points from their last 5 games and Slovan Bratislava took 3 from 5. LASK Linz come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    LASK Linz won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Slovan Bratislava won 0 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    LASK Linz score 2.5 goals a game and let in 1.3. Slovan Bratislava score 0.7 and let in 2.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of LASK Linz games and 6 of Slovan Bratislava games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    LASK Linz to win has a 69% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • LASK Linzrecent form-1%
  • S Bratislavarecent form-1%
LASK Linz form D W L L DS Bratislava form D L L W DHome edge in this league 33% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

LASK Linz vs Slovan Bratislava: LASK Linz are favourites

The big picture

LASK Linz host Slovan Bratislava in the Champions League on Tue 3 Nov, 20:00 at Raiffeisen Arena (Linz). Our prediction for LASK Linz vs Slovan Bratislava is LASK Linz to win, with a 69% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is LASK Linz to win at 1.43.

LASK Linz form

LASK Linz have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Slovan Bratislava form

Slovan Bratislava have 2 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses in their last 9 games, with 6 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect LASK Linz to score about 2.6 goals and Slovan Bratislava about 1.1. That points to LASK Linz to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is LASK Linz to win at 1.43. Our bold bet is LASK Linz to win and both score at 2.65.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LASK LinzS Bratislava
Games played209
Wins132
Draws30
Losses47
Goals scored516
Goals conceded2622
Scored per game2.50.7
Conceded per game1.32.4
Home record6W 1D 2L2W 0D 2L
Away record7W 2D 2L0W 0D 5L
Clean sheets25%11%
Both teams scored65%44%
Over 2.5 goals75%67%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
LASK Linz to win69%1.451.43-2.0%
A Draw17%5.734.90-14.4%
Slovan Bratislava to win14%7.176.00-16.3%
Over 3.5 goals45%2.212.00-9.3%
Under 3.5 goals49%2.051.74-15.2%
LASK Linz -1.544%2.272.00-11.8%
Slovan Bratislava +1.550%2.001.65-17.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals89%1.13
Over 2.5 goals71%1.41
Over 3.5 goals50%2.00
Both teams to score62%1.61
LASK Linz or Draw86%1.16
Slovan Bratislava or Draw31%3.18
LASK Linz to win and Over 2.554%1.85
Slovan Bratislava to win and Over 2.510%10.09
LASK Linz clean sheet33%3.02
Slovan Bratislava clean sheet8%13.10

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.2%
2-08.4%
3-17.9%
1-17.6%
3-07.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win LASK Linz vs Slovan Bratislava?

Our prediction for LASK Linz vs Slovan Bratislava is LASK Linz to win, with a 69% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is LASK Linz to win at 1.43.

What is the score prediction for LASK Linz vs Slovan Bratislava?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 3-1. We expect LASK Linz to score 2.6 goals and Slovan Bratislava 1.1.

Will both teams score in LASK Linz vs Slovan Bratislava?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of LASK Linz last 20 games and 4 of Slovan Bratislava last 9.

How are LASK Linz playing?

LASK Linz have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Slovan Bratislava playing?

Slovan Bratislava have 2 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses in their last 9 games, with 6 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for LASK Linz vs Slovan Bratislava?

LASK Linz to win at 1.43, with a 69% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in LASK Linz against S Bratislava. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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