Predictions › France › Le Havre AC vs Lorient

Ligue 1Sun 8 Nov, 16:15 France time

Le Havre AC vs Lorient prediction

Stade Océane

Le Havre ACHome

1.11 : 1.24

expected goals

LorientAway

32%Le Havre AC

30%Draw

38%Lorient

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Le Havre AC vs Lorient is Lorient to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction: Lorient to win
Chance: 38%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Le Havre AC 1.1, Lorient 1.2
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score: 48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

79% chanceFair price 1.262 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Lorient to win

38% chancePrice 2.601 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Le Havre AC 32%, the draw 30% and Lorient 38%. The bookmakers agree and make Lorient the favourite at 2.60.
2
Recent form
Le Havre AC took 1 point from their last 5 games and Lorient took 8 from 5. Lorient come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Le Havre AC won 0 of their last 9 games at home. Lorient won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Le Havre AC score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.6. Lorient score 1.3 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Le Havre AC games and 9 of Lorient games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Le Havre AC won 1 and Lorient won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Lorient 0, Le Havre AC 2.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Le Havre ACrecent form-4%
Lorientrecent form+1%

Le Havre AC form D L L L DLorient form D W W L DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Le Havre AC vs Lorient: Lorient shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Le Havre AC host Lorient in the Ligue 1 on Sun 8 Nov, 16:15 at Stade Océane. Our prediction for Le Havre AC vs Lorient is Lorient to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Le Havre AC form

Le Havre AC have 1 win, 8 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Lorient form

Lorient have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Le Havre AC won 1, Lorient won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Lorient 0, Le Havre AC 2.

Our call

We expect Le Havre AC to score about 1.1 goals and Lorient about 1.2. That points to Lorient to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Lorient to win at 2.60.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Le Havre AC	Lorient
Games played	20	20
Wins	1	6
Draws	8	8
Losses	11	6
Goals scored	20	26
Goals conceded	32	24
Scored per game	1.0	1.3
Conceded per game	1.6	1.2
Home record	0W 4D 5L	4W 3D 3L
Away record	1W 4D 6L	2W 5D 3L
Clean sheets	15%	35%
Both teams scored	55%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	30%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Le Havre AC to win	31%	3.21	2.65	-17.3%
A Draw	29%	3.48	3.25	-6.6%
Lorient to win	38%	2.64	2.60	-1.7%
Over 2.5 goals	44%	2.28	1.95	-14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	50%	2.00	1.77	-11.7%
Le Havre AC +0.5	58%	1.73	1.46	-16.1%
Lorient -0.5	37%	2.68	2.40	-10.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	69%	1.45
Over 2.5 goals	42%	2.40
Over 3.5 goals	21%	4.74
Both teams to score	48%	2.07
Le Havre AC or Draw	62%	1.62
Lorient or Draw	68%	1.47
Le Havre AC to win and Over 2.5	16%	6.11
Lorient to win and Over 2.5	20%	4.98
Le Havre AC clean sheet	29%	3.46
Lorient clean sheet	33%	3.03

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.9%

0-111.0%

0-010.3%

1-09.8%

1-28.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Le Havre AC vs Lorient?

Our prediction for Le Havre AC vs Lorient is Lorient to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Le Havre AC vs Lorient?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Le Havre AC to score 1.1 goals and Lorient 1.2.

Will both teams score in Le Havre AC vs Lorient?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Le Havre AC last 20 games and 10 of Lorient last 20.

How are Le Havre AC playing?

How are Lorient playing?

What happened when Le Havre AC and Lorient last met?

It ended Lorient 0, Le Havre AC 2. In the last 2 meetings Le Havre AC won 1 and Lorient won 0.

What is the best bet for Le Havre AC vs Lorient?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Le Havre AC against Lorient. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.