Predictions › Italy › Lecce vs Juventus

Serie ASun 25 Oct, 17:00 Italy time

Lecce vs Juventus prediction

Via Del Mare

LecceHome

0.80 : 1.88

expected goals

JuventusAway

15%Lecce

23%Draw

62%Juventus

Eagle safe pickJuventus or Draw

1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Lecce vs Juventus is Juventus to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Juventus or Draw at 1.19.

Prediction: Juventus to win
Chance: 62%
Most likely score: 0-1
Expected goals: Lecce 0.8, Juventus 1.9
Best bet: Juventus or Draw at 1.19
Both teams to score: 47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Juventus or Draw

84% chanceFair price 1.192 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Juventus to win and Over 2.5

38% chanceFair price 2.641 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Lecce 15%, the draw 23% and Juventus 62%. The bookmakers agree and make Juventus the favourite at 1.41.
2
Recent form
Lecce took 3 points from their last 5 games and Juventus took 10 from 5. Juventus come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Lecce won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Juventus won 5 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Lecce score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.6. Juventus score 1.7 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Lecce games and 6 of Juventus games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Lecce won 0 and Juventus won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Lecce 0, Juventus 1.
6
The safest bet
Juventus or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Leccerecent form-3%
Juventusrecent form+1%

Lecce form D L W L LJuventus form D D W W LHome edge in this league 12% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Lecce vs Juventus: Juventus are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Lecce host Juventus in the Serie A on Sun 25 Oct, 17:00 at Via Del Mare. Our prediction for Lecce vs Juventus is Juventus to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Juventus or Draw at 1.19.

Lecce form

Lecce have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Juventus form

Juventus have 11 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Lecce won 0, Juventus won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Lecce 0, Juventus 1.

Our call

We expect Lecce to score about 0.8 goals and Juventus about 1.9. That points to Juventus to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Juventus or Draw at 1.19. Our bold bet is Juventus to win and Over 2.5 at 2.64.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Lecce	Juventus
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	11
Draws	2	7
Losses	11	2
Goals scored	19	34
Goals conceded	31	15
Scored per game	0.9	1.7
Conceded per game	1.6	0.8
Home record	3W 1D 5L	6W 3D 1L
Away record	4W 1D 6L	5W 4D 1L
Clean sheets	20%	55%
Both teams scored	40%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Lecce to win	14%	7.03	7.00	-0.4%
A Draw	22%	4.62	4.00	-13.4%
Juventus to win	59%	1.68	1.41	-16.3%
Over 2.5 goals	49%	2.04	1.80	-11.6%
Under 2.5 goals	47%	2.11	1.91	-9.3%
Lecce +1.5	54%	1.84	1.59	-13.5%
Juventus -1.5	42%	2.38	2.10	-11.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	75%	1.32
Over 2.5 goals	50%	1.99
Over 3.5 goals	28%	3.54
Both teams to score	47%	2.11
Lecce or Draw	38%	2.66
Juventus or Draw	85%	1.17
Lecce to win and Over 2.5	8%	13.05
Juventus to win and Over 2.5	38%	2.63
Lecce clean sheet	15%	6.58
Juventus clean sheet	45%	2.23

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-112.2%

0-212.1%

1-110.9%

1-29.7%

0-37.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

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4 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Lecce vs Juventus?

Our prediction for Lecce vs Juventus is Juventus to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Juventus or Draw at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Lecce vs Juventus?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-2 and 1-1. We expect Lecce to score 0.8 goals and Juventus 1.9.

Will both teams score in Lecce vs Juventus?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Lecce last 20 games and 8 of Juventus last 20.

How are Lecce playing?

How are Juventus playing?

What happened when Lecce and Juventus last met?

It ended Lecce 0, Juventus 1. In the last 2 meetings Lecce won 0 and Juventus won 1.

What is the best bet for Lecce vs Juventus?

Juventus or Draw at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Lecce against Juventus. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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