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Predictions › Europa League › Lech Poznan vs Sunderland
Europa LeagueThu 22 Oct, 16:45 UTC

Lech Poznan vs Sunderland prediction

Municipal Stadium-Poznan

Lech PoznanHome
1.63 : 1.13
expected goals
SunderlandAway
48%Lech Poznan
26%Draw
26%Sunderland
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Lech Poznan vs Sunderland is Lech Poznan to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
Lech Poznan to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Lech Poznan 1.6, Sunderland 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Lech Poznan to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.551 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Lech Poznan 48%, the draw 26% and Sunderland 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Lech Poznan took 9 points from their last 5 games and Sunderland took 6 from 5. Lech Poznan come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Lech Poznan won 3 of their last 5 games at home. Sunderland won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Lech Poznan score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.5. Sunderland score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Lech Poznan games and 7 of Sunderland games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Lech Poznanrecent form+3%
  • Lech Poznanrest between games-3%
  • Sunderlandrest between games-2%
Lech Poznan form L D W W WSunderland form D L W L WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Lech Poznan vs Sunderland: Lech Poznan are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Lech Poznan host Sunderland in the Europa League on Thu 22 Oct, 16:45 at Municipal Stadium-Poznan. Our prediction for Lech Poznan vs Sunderland is Lech Poznan to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Lech Poznan form

Lech Poznan have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 11 games, with 18 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 5. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Sunderland form

Sunderland have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Lech Poznan to score about 1.6 goals and Sunderland about 1.1. That points to Lech Poznan to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Lech Poznan to win and Over 2.5 at 3.55.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Lech PoznanSunderland
Games played1120
Wins68
Draws14
Losses48
Goals scored1822
Goals conceded1628
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game1.51.4
Home record3W 1D 1L5W 1D 4L
Away record3W 0D 3L3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets27%30%
Both teams scored64%45%
Over 2.5 goals64%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.92
Over 3.5 goals30%3.34
Both teams to score55%1.81
Lech Poznan or Draw74%1.35
Sunderland or Draw52%1.93
Lech Poznan to win and Over 2.530%3.31
Sunderland to win and Over 2.515%6.56
Lech Poznan clean sheet32%3.10
Sunderland clean sheet20%5.09

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
1-09.6%
2-19.5%
2-08.4%
0-07.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Premier League Panel Backs Controversial Referee Decisions

A Premier League panel has backed refereeing decisions in recent matches involving Manchester City and Everton.

30 Sept 2026
Premier League

Arteta Fuming Over Penalty Call Despite Arsenal's Two-Goal Win

Mikel Arteta lashed out at officials over a penalty decision against Arsenal, despite his side securing a 2-0 victory over Sunderland.

13 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?

Our prediction for Lech Poznan vs Sunderland is Lech Poznan to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Lech Poznan to score 1.6 goals and Sunderland 1.1.

Will both teams score in Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Lech Poznan last 11 games and 9 of Sunderland last 20.

How are Lech Poznan playing?

Lech Poznan have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 11 games, with 18 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 5. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Sunderland playing?

Sunderland have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Lech Poznan against Sunderland. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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