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Predictions › Spain › Leganés vs Albacete
LaLiga 2Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 Spain time

Leganés vs Albacete prediction

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

LeganésHome
1.19 : 0.89
expected goals
AlbaceteAway
42%Leganés
31%Draw
27%Albacete
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Leganés vs Albacete is Leganés to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Leganés to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Leganés 1.2, Albacete 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
42%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.121 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Leganés 42%, the draw 31% and Albacete 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Leganés took 1 point from their last 5 games and Albacete took 3 from 5. Albacete come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Leganés won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Albacete won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Leganés score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.6. Albacete score 1.1 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Leganés games and 13 of Albacete games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Leganés won 2 and Albacete won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Leganés 2, Albacete 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Leganésrecent form-6%
  • Albaceterecent form-6%
Leganés form D L L L LAlbacete form D L L L LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Leganés vs Albacete: Leganés shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Leganés host Albacete in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 at Estadio Municipal de Butarque. Our prediction for Leganés vs Albacete is Leganés to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Leganés form

Leganés have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Albacete form

Albacete have 6 wins, 1 draw and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Leganés won 2, Albacete won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Leganés 2, Albacete 1.

Our call

We expect Leganés to score about 1.2 goals and Albacete about 0.9. That points to Leganés to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.12.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LeganésAlbacete
Games played2020
Wins56
Draws41
Losses1113
Goals scored1323
Goals conceded3235
Scored per game0.71.1
Conceded per game1.61.8
Home record4W 2D 4L4W 0D 6L
Away record1W 2D 7L2W 1D 7L
Clean sheets25%10%
Both teams scored35%60%
Over 2.5 goals45%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals62%1.61
Over 2.5 goals34%2.90
Over 3.5 goals16%6.36
Both teams to score42%2.39
Leganés or Draw73%1.37
Albacete or Draw58%1.72
Leganés to win and Over 2.519%5.26
Albacete to win and Over 2.511%8.71
Leganés clean sheet41%2.44
Albacete clean sheet31%3.27

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.0%
1-014.0%
0-013.3%
0-110.4%
2-08.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Leganés vs Albacete?

Our prediction for Leganés vs Albacete is Leganés to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Leganés vs Albacete?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Leganés to score 1.2 goals and Albacete 0.9.

Will both teams score in Leganés vs Albacete?

Both teams to score has a 42% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Leganés last 20 games and 12 of Albacete last 20.

How are Leganés playing?

Leganés have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Albacete playing?

Albacete have 6 wins, 1 draw and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Leganés and Albacete last met?

It ended Leganés 2, Albacete 1. In the last 2 meetings Leganés won 2 and Albacete won 0.

What is the best bet for Leganés vs Albacete?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Leganés against Albacete. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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