EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Spain › Leganés vs Burgos
LaLiga 2Fri 13 Nov, 19:30 Spain time

Leganés vs Burgos prediction

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

LeganésHome
0.83 : 1.19
expected goals
BurgosAway
25%Leganés
32%Draw
43%Burgos
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Leganés vs Burgos is Burgos to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Burgos to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Leganés 0.8, Burgos 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-1
15% chanceFair price 6.681 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Leganés 25%, the draw 32% and Burgos 43%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Leganés took 1 point from their last 5 games and Burgos took 7 from 5. Burgos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Leganés won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Burgos won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Leganés score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.7. Burgos score 1.2 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Leganés games and 7 of Burgos games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Leganés won 0 and Burgos won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Burgos 2, Leganés 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Leganésrecent form-6%
  • Burgosrecent form+3%
  • Leganésrest between games-2%
Leganés form L D L L LBurgos form D W W W LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Leganés vs Burgos: Burgos shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Leganés host Burgos in the LaLiga 2 on Fri 13 Nov, 19:30 at Estadio Municipal de Butarque. Our prediction for Leganés vs Burgos is Burgos to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Leganés form

Leganés have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Burgos form

Burgos have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Leganés won 0, Burgos won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Burgos 2, Leganés 1.

Our call

We expect Leganés to score about 0.8 goals and Burgos about 1.2. That points to Burgos to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-1 at 6.68.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LeganésBurgos
Games played2020
Wins510
Draws46
Losses114
Goals scored1524
Goals conceded3417
Scored per game0.81.2
Conceded per game1.70.8
Home record4W 2D 4L6W 4D 1L
Away record1W 2D 7L4W 2D 3L
Clean sheets25%45%
Both teams scored35%45%
Over 2.5 goals45%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals61%1.65
Over 2.5 goals33%3.05
Over 3.5 goals15%6.85
Both teams to score40%2.50
Leganés or Draw57%1.77
Burgos or Draw75%1.33
Leganés to win and Over 2.510%9.85
Burgos to win and Over 2.519%5.25
Leganés clean sheet31%3.27
Burgos clean sheet44%2.30

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-115.0%
0-014.1%
1-113.9%
1-010.3%
0-29.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Leganés vs Burgos?

Our prediction for Leganés vs Burgos is Burgos to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Leganés vs Burgos?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Leganés to score 0.8 goals and Burgos 1.2.

Will both teams score in Leganés vs Burgos?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Leganés last 20 games and 9 of Burgos last 20.

How are Leganés playing?

Leganés have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Burgos playing?

Burgos have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Leganés and Burgos last met?

It ended Burgos 2, Leganés 1. In the last 2 meetings Leganés won 0 and Burgos won 2.

What is the best bet for Leganés vs Burgos?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Leganés against Burgos. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.