Predictions › Spain › Leganés vs Córdoba

LaLiga 2Fri 16 Oct, 18:30 Spain time

Leganés vs Córdoba prediction

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

LeganésHome

1.53 : 1.37

expected goals

CórdobaAway

41%Leganés

26%Draw

33%Córdoba

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Leganés vs Córdoba is Leganés to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction: Leganés to win
Chance: 41%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Leganés 1.5, Córdoba 1.4
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score: 59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

77% chanceFair price 1.302 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Leganés to win and Over 2.5

26% chanceFair price 3.831 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Leganés 41%, the draw 26% and Córdoba 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Leganés took 4 points from their last 5 games and Córdoba took 6 from 5. Córdoba come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Leganés won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Córdoba won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Leganés score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.5. Córdoba score 1.4 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Leganés games and 14 of Córdoba games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Leganés won 0 and Córdoba won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Córdoba 2, Leganés 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Leganésrecent form-3%
Córdobarecent form-1%
Córdobarest between games-5%

Leganés form L L W L DCórdoba form W L W L LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Leganés vs Córdoba: Leganés shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Leganés host Córdoba in the LaLiga 2 on Fri 16 Oct, 18:30 at Estadio Municipal de Butarque. Our prediction for Leganés vs Córdoba is Leganés to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Leganés form

Leganés have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, D, newest first.

Córdoba form

Córdoba have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Leganés won 0, Córdoba won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Córdoba 2, Leganés 1.

Our call

We expect Leganés to score about 1.5 goals and Córdoba about 1.4. That points to Leganés to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Leganés to win and Over 2.5 at 3.83.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Leganés	Córdoba
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	9
Draws	5	2
Losses	9	9
Goals scored	18	29
Goals conceded	30	36
Scored per game	0.9	1.4
Conceded per game	1.5	1.8
Home record	5W 2D 3L	5W 2D 3L
Away record	1W 3D 6L	4W 0D 6L
Clean sheets	30%	10%
Both teams scored	40%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	79%	1.26
Over 2.5 goals	55%	1.81
Over 3.5 goals	33%	3.03
Both teams to score	59%	1.69
Leganés or Draw	67%	1.50
Córdoba or Draw	59%	1.68
Leganés to win and Over 2.5	26%	3.79
Córdoba to win and Over 2.5	21%	4.69
Leganés clean sheet	25%	3.93
Córdoba clean sheet	22%	4.62

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.2%

2-18.8%

1-27.9%

1-07.7%

0-16.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Leganés vs Córdoba?

Our prediction for Leganés vs Córdoba is Leganés to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Leganés vs Córdoba?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Leganés to score 1.5 goals and Córdoba 1.4.

Will both teams score in Leganés vs Córdoba?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Leganés last 20 games and 14 of Córdoba last 20.

How are Leganés playing?

How are Córdoba playing?

What happened when Leganés and Córdoba last met?

It ended Córdoba 2, Leganés 1. In the last 2 meetings Leganés won 0 and Córdoba won 1.

What is the best bet for Leganés vs Córdoba?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Leganés against Córdoba. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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