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Predictions › Spain › Leganés vs Granada
LaLiga 2Sun 20 Sept, 19:00 Spain time

Leganés vs Granada prediction

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

LeganésHome
1.25 : 0.89
expected goals
GranadaAway
44%Leganés
31%Draw
26%Granada
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Leganés vs Granada is Leganés to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Leganés to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Leganés 1.3, Granada 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
14% chanceFair price 7.171 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Leganés 44%, the draw 31% and Granada 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Leganés took 11 points from their last 5 games and Granada took 8 from 5. Leganés come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Leganés won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Granada won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Leganés score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.3. Granada score 1.2 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Leganés games and 8 of Granada games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Leganés won 2 and Granada won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Leganés 1, Granada 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Leganésrecent form+4%
  • Granadarecent form+1%
  • Granadarest between games-5%
Leganés form D W W D WGranada form D L W W DHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Leganés vs Granada: Leganés shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Leganés host Granada in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 20 Sept, 19:00 at Estadio Municipal de Butarque. Our prediction for Leganés vs Granada is Leganés to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Leganés form

Leganés have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Granada form

Granada have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Leganés won 2, Granada won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Leganés 1, Granada 0.

Our call

We expect Leganés to score about 1.3 goals and Granada about 0.9. That points to Leganés to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 7.17.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LeganésGranada
Games played2020
Wins57
Draws73
Losses810
Goals scored1824
Goals conceded2529
Scored per game0.91.2
Conceded per game1.31.4
Home record4W 3D 3L3W 2D 4L
Away record1W 4D 5L4W 1D 6L
Clean sheets35%30%
Both teams scored45%45%
Over 2.5 goals40%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals64%1.57
Over 2.5 goals36%2.78
Over 3.5 goals17%5.95
Both teams to score43%2.34
Leganés or Draw74%1.35
Granada or Draw56%1.78
Leganés to win and Over 2.521%4.85
Granada to win and Over 2.511%8.88
Leganés clean sheet41%2.43
Granada clean sheet29%3.48

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.9%
1-113.9%
0-012.6%
0-19.7%
2-09.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Leganés vs Granada?

Our prediction for Leganés vs Granada is Leganés to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Leganés vs Granada?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Leganés to score 1.3 goals and Granada 0.9.

Will both teams score in Leganés vs Granada?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Leganés last 20 games and 9 of Granada last 20.

How are Leganés playing?

Leganés have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Granada playing?

Granada have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Leganés and Granada last met?

It ended Leganés 1, Granada 0. In the last 2 meetings Leganés won 2 and Granada won 0.

What is the best bet for Leganés vs Granada?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Leganés against Granada. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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