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Predictions › United Kingdom › Leicester City vs Peterborough United
League OneSat 10 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Leicester City vs Peterborough United prediction

King Power Stadium

Leicester CityHome
1.46 : 1.16
expected goals
Peterborough UnitedAway
43%Leicester
27%Draw
29%Peterborough
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Leicester City vs Peterborough United is Leicester City to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
Leicester City to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Leicester City 1.5, Peterborough United 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1/31 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Leicester City to win and Over 2.5
25% chanceFair price 3/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Leicester City 43%, the draw 27% and Peterborough United 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Leicester City took 8 points from their last 5 games and Peterborough United took 2 from 5. Leicester City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Leicester City won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Peterborough United won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Leicester City score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.3. Peterborough United score 1.1 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Leicester City games and 10 of Peterborough United games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Leicesterrecent form+3%
Leicester form W D W L WPeterborough form L W L W DHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Leicester City vs Peterborough United: Leicester City shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Leicester City host Peterborough United in the League One on Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 at King Power Stadium. Our prediction for Leicester City vs Peterborough United is Leicester City to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Leicester City form

Leicester City have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Peterborough United form

Peterborough United have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Leicester City to score about 1.5 goals and Peterborough United about 1.2. That points to Leicester City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Leicester City to win and Over 2.5 at 3/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LeicesterPeterborough
Games played2020
Wins53
Draws97
Losses610
Goals scored2221
Goals conceded2634
Scored per game1.11.1
Conceded per game1.31.7
Home record3W 3D 4L1W 5D 4L
Away record2W 6D 2L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets30%15%
Both teams scored55%65%
Over 2.5 goals35%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1/3
Over 2.5 goals49%21/20
Over 3.5 goals27%11/4
Both teams to score53%10/11
Leicester City or Draw71%2/5
Peterborough United or Draw57%4/5
Leicester City to win and Over 2.526%3/1
Peterborough United to win and Over 2.517%5/1
Leicester City clean sheet32%11/5
Peterborough United clean sheet23%10/3

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-09.9%
2-19.0%
0-08.0%
2-07.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Leicester City vs Peterborough United?

Our prediction for Leicester City vs Peterborough United is Leicester City to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Leicester City vs Peterborough United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Leicester City to score 1.5 goals and Peterborough United 1.2.

Will both teams score in Leicester City vs Peterborough United?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Leicester City last 20 games and 13 of Peterborough United last 20.

How are Leicester City playing?

Leicester City have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Peterborough United playing?

Peterborough United have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Leicester City vs Peterborough United?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/3, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Leicester against Peterborough. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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