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Predictions › United Kingdom › Leicester City vs Wigan Athletic
League OneTue 27 Oct, 19:45 United Kingdom time

Leicester City vs Wigan Athletic prediction

King Power Stadium

Leicester CityHome
1.33 : 1.21
expected goals
Wigan AthleticAway
39%Leicester
28%Draw
33%Wigan
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Leicester City vs Wigan Athletic is Leicester City to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
Leicester City to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Leicester City 1.3, Wigan Athletic 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1/32 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Leicester City 39%, the draw 28% and Wigan Athletic 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Leicester City took 7 points from their last 5 games and Wigan Athletic took 4 from 5. Leicester City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Leicester City won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Wigan Athletic won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Leicester City score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Wigan Athletic score 0.9 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Leicester City games and 7 of Wigan Athletic games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Leicesterrecent form-1%
  • Wiganrecent form-1%
  • Leicesterrest between games-5%
  • Wiganrest between games-5%
Leicester form D L L W DWigan form D L W L DHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Leicester City vs Wigan Athletic: Leicester City shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Leicester City host Wigan Athletic in the League One on Tue 27 Oct, 19:45 at King Power Stadium. Our prediction for Leicester City vs Wigan Athletic is Leicester City to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

Leicester City form

Leicester City have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Wigan Athletic form

Wigan Athletic have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Leicester City to score about 1.3 goals and Wigan Athletic about 1.2. That points to Leicester City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LeicesterWigan
Games played2020
Wins56
Draws85
Losses79
Goals scored2218
Goals conceded2922
Scored per game1.10.9
Conceded per game1.41.1
Home record3W 3D 5L5W 1D 4L
Away record2W 5D 2L1W 4D 5L
Clean sheets25%30%
Both teams scored60%30%
Over 2.5 goals45%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%4/11
Over 2.5 goals47%11/10
Over 3.5 goals25%3/1
Both teams to score52%10/11
Leicester City or Draw67%1/2
Wigan Athletic or Draw61%8/13
Leicester City to win and Over 2.522%7/2
Wigan Athletic to win and Over 2.519%9/2
Leicester City clean sheet30%12/5
Wigan Athletic clean sheet26%11/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.4%
1-09.7%
0-18.8%
0-08.6%
2-18.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Leicester City vs Wigan Athletic?

Our prediction for Leicester City vs Wigan Athletic is Leicester City to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Leicester City vs Wigan Athletic?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Leicester City to score 1.3 goals and Wigan Athletic 1.2.

Will both teams score in Leicester City vs Wigan Athletic?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Leicester City last 20 games and 6 of Wigan Athletic last 20.

How are Leicester City playing?

Leicester City have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Wigan Athletic playing?

Wigan Athletic have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Leicester City vs Wigan Athletic?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/3, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Leicester against Wigan. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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