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Predictions › Greece › Levadiakos vs Aris
Greek Super LeagueSun 1 Nov, 15:00 Greece time

Levadiakos vs Aris prediction

Levadia Municipal Stadium

LevadiakosHome
1.53 : 1.21
expected goals
ArisAway
44%Levadiakos
27%Draw
29%Aris
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Levadiakos vs Aris is Levadiakos to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Levadiakos to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Levadiakos 1.5, Aris 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Levadiakos to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.791 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Levadiakos 44%, the draw 27% and Aris 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Levadiakos took 2 points from their last 5 games and Aris took 7 from 5. Aris come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Levadiakos won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Aris won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Levadiakos score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.8. Aris score 1.4 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Levadiakos games and 10 of Aris games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Levadiakos won 0 and Aris won 1 with 3 draws. The last one ended Aris 3, Levadiakos 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Levadiakosrecent form-4%
  • Arisrecent form-1%
Levadiakos form D L L D LAris form D W D L LHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Levadiakos vs Aris: Levadiakos shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Levadiakos host Aris in the Greek Super League on Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 at Levadia Municipal Stadium. Our prediction for Levadiakos vs Aris is Levadiakos to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Levadiakos form

Levadiakos have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Aris form

Aris have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Levadiakos won 0, Aris won 1 and 3 games ended level. Last time out it finished Aris 3, Levadiakos 0.

Our call

We expect Levadiakos to score about 1.5 goals and Aris about 1.2. That points to Levadiakos to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Levadiakos to win and Over 2.5 at 3.79.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LevadiakosAris
Games played2020
Wins49
Draws47
Losses124
Goals scored1627
Goals conceded3625
Scored per game0.81.4
Conceded per game1.81.3
Home record3W 3D 4L5W 4D 1L
Away record1W 1D 8L4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets25%30%
Both teams scored25%55%
Over 2.5 goals45%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.31
Over 2.5 goals51%1.94
Over 3.5 goals29%3.41
Both teams to score56%1.80
Levadiakos or Draw71%1.41
Aris or Draw56%1.79
Levadiakos to win and Over 2.527%3.67
Aris to win and Over 2.517%5.73
Levadiakos clean sheet30%3.34
Aris clean sheet22%4.61

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
1-09.2%
2-19.1%
2-07.6%
0-07.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Levadiakos vs Aris?

Our prediction for Levadiakos vs Aris is Levadiakos to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Levadiakos vs Aris?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Levadiakos to score 1.5 goals and Aris 1.2.

Will both teams score in Levadiakos vs Aris?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of Levadiakos last 20 games and 11 of Aris last 20.

How are Levadiakos playing?

Levadiakos have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Aris playing?

Aris have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Levadiakos and Aris last met?

It ended Aris 3, Levadiakos 0. In the last 4 meetings Levadiakos won 0 and Aris won 1.

What is the best bet for Levadiakos vs Aris?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Levadiakos against Aris. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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