Predictions › Greece › Levadiakos vs Atromitos

Greek Super LeagueSun 22 Nov, 14:00 Greece time

Levadiakos vs Atromitos prediction

Levadia Municipal Stadium

LevadiakosHome

1.27 : 1.09

expected goals

AtromitosAway

40%Levadiakos

29%Draw

31%Atromitos

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Levadiakos vs Atromitos is Levadiakos to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction: Levadiakos to win
Chance: 40%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Levadiakos 1.3, Atromitos 1.1
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score: 49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

78% chanceFair price 1.272 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 7.221 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Levadiakos 40%, the draw 29% and Atromitos 31%. The bookmakers agree and make Levadiakos the favourite at 2.40.
2
Recent form
Levadiakos took 5 points from their last 5 games and Atromitos took 4 from 5. Levadiakos come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Levadiakos won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Atromitos won 2 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Levadiakos score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.6. Atromitos score 1.6 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Levadiakos games and 13 of Atromitos games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Levadiakos won 1 and Atromitos won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Levadiakos 1, Atromitos 0.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Levadiakosrecent form-1%
Atromitosrecent form-3%

Levadiakos form L W D D LAtromitos form D W L L LHome edge in this league 29% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Levadiakos vs Atromitos: Levadiakos shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Levadiakos host Atromitos in the Greek Super League on Sun 22 Nov, 14:00 at Levadia Municipal Stadium. Our prediction for Levadiakos vs Atromitos is Levadiakos to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

Levadiakos form

Levadiakos have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, L, newest first.

Atromitos form

Atromitos have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Levadiakos won 1, Atromitos won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Levadiakos 1, Atromitos 0.

Our call

We expect Levadiakos to score about 1.3 goals and Atromitos about 1.1. That points to Levadiakos to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.22.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Levadiakos	Atromitos
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	6
Draws	4	5
Losses	11	9
Goals scored	18	32
Goals conceded	31	25
Scored per game	0.9	1.6
Conceded per game	1.6	1.3
Home record	4W 2D 4L	4W 2D 3L
Away record	1W 2D 7L	2W 3D 6L
Clean sheets	30%	30%
Both teams scored	25%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Levadiakos to win	39%	2.59	2.40	-7.3%
A Draw	29%	3.46	2.95	-14.7%
Atromitos to win	31%	3.28	3.10	-5.4%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	2.51	2.25	-10.4%
Under 2.5 goals	53%	1.87	1.54	-17.7%
Levadiakos -0.5	39%	2.57	2.25	-12.4%
Atromitos +0.5	54%	1.84	1.51	-17.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	69%	1.45
Over 2.5 goals	42%	2.38
Over 3.5 goals	21%	4.68
Both teams to score	49%	2.06
Levadiakos or Draw	69%	1.45
Atromitos or Draw	60%	1.66
Levadiakos to win and Over 2.5	21%	4.77
Atromitos to win and Over 2.5	16%	6.32
Levadiakos clean sheet	34%	2.98
Atromitos clean sheet	28%	3.57

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.8%

1-011.2%

0-010.2%

0-19.5%

2-18.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Levadiakos vs Atromitos?

Our prediction for Levadiakos vs Atromitos is Levadiakos to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Levadiakos vs Atromitos?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Levadiakos to score 1.3 goals and Atromitos 1.1.

Will both teams score in Levadiakos vs Atromitos?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of Levadiakos last 20 games and 12 of Atromitos last 20.

How are Levadiakos playing?

How are Atromitos playing?

What happened when Levadiakos and Atromitos last met?

It ended Levadiakos 1, Atromitos 0. In the last 2 meetings Levadiakos won 1 and Atromitos won 0.

What is the best bet for Levadiakos vs Atromitos?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.27, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Levadiakos against Atromitos. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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