Predictions › Spain › Levante vs Atlético Madrid
LaLigaSat 31 Oct, 13:00 Spain time

Levante vs Atlético Madrid prediction

Estadi Ciutat de València

LevanteHome
1.35 : 2.13
expected goals
Atlético MadridAway
23%Levante
22%Draw
55%Atlético
Eagle safe pickAtlético Madrid or Draw
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Levante vs Atlético Madrid is Atlético Madrid to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Atlético Madrid or Draw at 1.30.

Prediction
Atlético Madrid to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
Levante 1.4, Atlético Madrid 2.1
Best bet
Atlético Madrid or Draw at 1.30
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Atlético Madrid or Draw
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Atlético Madrid to win and Over 2.5
43% chanceFair price 2.341 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Levante 23%, the draw 22% and Atlético Madrid 55%. The bookmakers agree and make Atlético Madrid the favourite at 1.59.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Levante took 3 points from their last 5 games and Atlético Madrid took 13 from 5. Atlético Madrid come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Levante won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Atlético Madrid won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Levante score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.6. Atlético Madrid score 1.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Levante games and 11 of Atlético Madrid games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Levante won 0 and Atlético Madrid won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Levante 0, Atlético Madrid 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Atlético Madrid or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Levanterecent form-3%
  • Atléticorecent form+6%
  • Atléticorest between games-5%
Levante form D D L L DAtlético form D W W W WHome edge in this league 34% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Levante vs Atlético Madrid: Atlético Madrid are favourites

The big picture

Levante host Atlético Madrid in the LaLiga on Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 at Estadi Ciutat de València. Our prediction for Levante vs Atlético Madrid is Atlético Madrid to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Atlético Madrid or Draw at 1.30.

Levante form

Levante have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Atlético Madrid form

Atlético Madrid have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Levante won 0, Atlético Madrid won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Levante 0, Atlético Madrid 0.

Our call

We expect Levante to score about 1.4 goals and Atlético Madrid about 2.1. That points to Atlético Madrid to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Atlético Madrid or Draw at 1.30. Our bold bet is Atlético Madrid to win and Over 2.5 at 2.34.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LevanteAtlético
Games played2020
Wins712
Draws73
Losses65
Goals scored3133
Goals conceded3322
Scored per game1.61.6
Conceded per game1.61.1
Home record6W 2D 1L6W 2D 1L
Away record1W 5D 5L6W 1D 4L
Clean sheets30%35%
Both teams scored60%50%
Over 2.5 goals50%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Levante to win22%4.474.60+2.9%
A Draw21%4.764.50-5.5%
Atlético Madrid to win51%1.961.59-18.9%
Over 3.5 goals43%2.332.30-1.4%
Under 3.5 goals53%1.891.56-17.5%
Levante +0.543%2.332.20-5.4%
Atlético Madrid -0.553%1.891.53-19.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.15
Over 2.5 goals67%1.48
Over 3.5 goals46%2.18
Both teams to score66%1.52
Levante or Draw45%2.22
Atlético Madrid or Draw77%1.30
Levante to win and Over 2.517%5.93
Atlético Madrid to win and Over 2.542%2.39
Levante clean sheet12%8.42
Atlético Madrid clean sheet26%3.84

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.4%
1-19.4%
0-27.0%
1-36.7%
2-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Levante vs Atlético Madrid?

Our prediction for Levante vs Atlético Madrid is Atlético Madrid to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Atlético Madrid or Draw at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Levante vs Atlético Madrid?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-2. We expect Levante to score 1.4 goals and Atlético Madrid 2.1.

Will both teams score in Levante vs Atlético Madrid?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Levante last 20 games and 10 of Atlético Madrid last 20.

How are Levante playing?

Levante have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Atlético Madrid playing?

Atlético Madrid have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Levante and Atlético Madrid last met?

It ended Levante 0, Atlético Madrid 0. In the last 2 meetings Levante won 0 and Atlético Madrid won 1.

What is the best bet for Levante vs Atlético Madrid?

Atlético Madrid or Draw at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Levante against Atlético. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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