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Predictions › United Kingdom › Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon
League OneSat 21 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon prediction

Gaughan Group Stadium

Leyton OrientHome
1.90 : 1.02
expected goals
AFC WimbledonAway
57%Leyton Orient
23%Draw
19%Wimbledon
Eagle safe pickLeyton Orient or Draw
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon is Leyton Orient to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Leyton Orient or Draw at 1/4.

Prediction
Leyton Orient to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Leyton Orient 1.9, AFC Wimbledon 1.0
Best bet
Leyton Orient or Draw at 1/4
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Leyton Orient or Draw
80% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Leyton Orient to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 7/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Leyton Orient 57%, the draw 23% and AFC Wimbledon 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Leyton Orient took 9 points from their last 5 games and AFC Wimbledon took 1 from 5. Leyton Orient come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Leyton Orient won 5 of their last 12 games at home. AFC Wimbledon won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Leyton Orient score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. AFC Wimbledon score 0.7 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Leyton Orient games and 10 of AFC Wimbledon games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Leyton Orient won 1 and AFC Wimbledon won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended AFC Wimbledon 2, Leyton Orient 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Leyton Orient or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Leyton Orientrecent form-1%
  • Wimbledonrecent form-6%
Leyton Orient form L W W L LWimbledon form L L L D LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon: Leyton Orient are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Leyton Orient host AFC Wimbledon in the League One on Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 at Gaughan Group Stadium. Our prediction for Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon is Leyton Orient to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Leyton Orient or Draw at 1/4.

Leyton Orient form

Leyton Orient have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

AFC Wimbledon form

AFC Wimbledon have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Leyton Orient won 1, AFC Wimbledon won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished AFC Wimbledon 2, Leyton Orient 4.

Our call

We expect Leyton Orient to score about 1.9 goals and AFC Wimbledon about 1.0. That points to Leyton Orient to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Leyton Orient or Draw at 1/4. Our bold bet is Leyton Orient to win and Over 2.5 at 7/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Leyton OrientWimbledon
Games played2020
Wins74
Draws45
Losses911
Goals scored2913
Goals conceded2336
Scored per game1.40.7
Conceded per game1.11.8
Home record5W 1D 6L2W 4D 4L
Away record2W 3D 3L2W 1D 7L
Clean sheets40%30%
Both teams scored40%40%
Over 2.5 goals45%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1/4
Over 2.5 goals56%4/5
Over 3.5 goals34%2/1
Both teams to score55%4/5
Leyton Orient or Draw81%1/4
AFC Wimbledon or Draw43%11/8
Leyton Orient to win and Over 2.538%13/8
AFC Wimbledon to win and Over 2.512%15/2
Leyton Orient clean sheet36%9/5
AFC Wimbledon clean sheet15%11/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.1%
2-19.9%
2-09.7%
1-09.6%
3-16.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon?

Our prediction for Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon is Leyton Orient to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Leyton Orient or Draw at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Leyton Orient to score 1.9 goals and AFC Wimbledon 1.0.

Will both teams score in Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Leyton Orient last 20 games and 8 of AFC Wimbledon last 20.

How are Leyton Orient playing?

Leyton Orient have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are AFC Wimbledon playing?

AFC Wimbledon have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Leyton Orient and AFC Wimbledon last met?

It ended AFC Wimbledon 2, Leyton Orient 4. In the last 2 meetings Leyton Orient won 1 and AFC Wimbledon won 1.

What is the best bet for Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon?

Leyton Orient or Draw at 1/4, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Leyton Orient against Wimbledon. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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