Predictions › United Kingdom › Leyton Orient vs Blackpool
League OneSat 17 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Leyton Orient vs Blackpool prediction

Gaughan Group Stadium

Leyton OrientHome
1.33 : 1.29
expected goals
BlackpoolAway
37%Leyton Orient
28%Draw
35%Blackpool
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Leyton Orient vs Blackpool is Leyton Orient to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
Leyton Orient to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Leyton Orient 1.3, Blackpool 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1/32 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Leyton Orient 37%, the draw 28% and Blackpool 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Leyton Orient took 4 points from their last 5 games and Blackpool took 4 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Leyton Orient won 3 of their last 12 games at home. Blackpool won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Leyton Orient score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.1. Blackpool score 1.5 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Leyton Orient games and 12 of Blackpool games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Leyton Orient won 0 and Blackpool won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Blackpool 1, Leyton Orient 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Leyton Orientrecent form-4%
  • Blackpoolrecent form-4%
Leyton Orient form L W L L LBlackpool form D L L D LHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Leyton Orient vs Blackpool: Leyton Orient shade it

The big picture

Leyton Orient host Blackpool in the League One on Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 at Gaughan Group Stadium. Our prediction for Leyton Orient vs Blackpool is Leyton Orient to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Leyton Orient form

Leyton Orient have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Blackpool form

Blackpool have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Leyton Orient won 0, Blackpool won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Blackpool 1, Leyton Orient 0.

Our call

We expect Leyton Orient to score about 1.3 goals and Blackpool about 1.3. That points to Leyton Orient to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Leyton OrientBlackpool
Games played2020
Wins510
Draws63
Losses97
Goals scored2230
Goals conceded2328
Scored per game1.11.5
Conceded per game1.11.4
Home record3W 2D 7L6W 2D 2L
Away record2W 4D 2L4W 1D 5L
Clean sheets45%35%
Both teams scored40%60%
Over 2.5 goals40%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1/3
Over 2.5 goals49%21/20
Over 3.5 goals27%11/4
Both teams to score54%5/6
Leyton Orient or Draw65%8/15
Blackpool or Draw63%4/7
Leyton Orient to win and Over 2.522%7/2
Blackpool to win and Over 2.521%4/1
Leyton Orient clean sheet27%13/5
Blackpool clean sheet27%11/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.2%
1-08.9%
0-18.7%
2-18.3%
1-28.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Leyton Orient vs Blackpool?

Our prediction for Leyton Orient vs Blackpool is Leyton Orient to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Leyton Orient vs Blackpool?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Leyton Orient to score 1.3 goals and Blackpool 1.3.

Will both teams score in Leyton Orient vs Blackpool?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Leyton Orient last 20 games and 12 of Blackpool last 20.

How are Leyton Orient playing?

Leyton Orient have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Blackpool playing?

Blackpool have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Leyton Orient and Blackpool last met?

It ended Blackpool 1, Leyton Orient 0. In the last 2 meetings Leyton Orient won 0 and Blackpool won 1.

What is the best bet for Leyton Orient vs Blackpool?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/3, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Leyton Orient against Blackpool. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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