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Predictions › United States › Liberty Flames vs Delaware Blue Hens
College FootballFri 2 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Liberty Flames vs Delaware Blue Hens prediction

Delaware Stadium

Liberty FlamesAway
27.8 : 21.5
projected points
Delaware Blue HensHome
70%Liberty
30%Delaware
Eagle safe pickLiberty to win
-270

Quick answer

Our prediction for Liberty Flames vs Delaware Blue Hens is Liberty Flames to win, with a 70% chance. We project Liberty Flames 27.8 and Delaware Blue Hens 21.5. Our best bet is Liberty to win at -270.

Prediction
Liberty Flames to win
Chance
70%
Projected score
Liberty Flames 28, Delaware Blue Hens 22
Projected total
49.3 points
Best bet
Liberty to win at -270

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Liberty to win
70% chancePrice -2701 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Delaware to win
30% chancePrice +2201 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Delaware Blue Hens 30% and Liberty Flames 70%. The bookmakers agree and make Liberty Flames the favourite at -270.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Delaware Blue Hens won 3 of their last 5 and Liberty Flames won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Delaware Blue Hens won 7 of their last 8 games at home. Liberty Flames won 2 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Delaware Blue Hens score 28.5 points a game and let in 30.2. Liberty Flames score 26.9 and let in 25.1. Their recent games average 58.7 and 52.1 points in total, and the market line is 49.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Delaware Blue Hens won 0 and Liberty Flames won 1. The last one ended Liberty Flames 59, Delaware Blue Hens 30.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Liberty to win has a 70% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Delawarerest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Liberty Flames vs Delaware Blue Hens: Liberty Flames are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Delaware Blue Hens host Liberty Flames in the College Football on Fri 2 Oct, 19:00 at Delaware Stadium. Our prediction for Liberty Flames vs Delaware Blue Hens is Liberty Flames to win, with a 70% chance. We project Liberty Flames 27.8 and Delaware Blue Hens 21.5. Our best bet is Liberty to win at -270.

Delaware Blue Hens form

Delaware Blue Hens have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 428 points scored and 453 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Liberty Flames form

Liberty Flames have 6 wins and 8 losses in their last 14 games, with 377 points scored and 352 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Delaware Blue Hens won 0, Liberty Flames won 1. Last time out it finished Liberty Flames 59, Delaware Blue Hens 30.

Our call

We expect Liberty Flames to score about 27.8 points and Delaware Blue Hens about 21.5. That points to Liberty Flames to win. Our safest bet is Liberty to win at -270. Our bold bet is Delaware to win at +220.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

DelawareLiberty
Games played1514
Wins86
Losses78
Points scored428377
Points conceded453352
Scored per game28.526.9
Conceded per game30.225.1
Home record7W 1L4W 3L
Away record1W 6L2W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Delaware to win30%+234+220-4.3%
Liberty to win70%-236-270-3.8%
Delaware +749%+105-110-6.7%
Liberty -745%+123-110-14.3%
Over 49.5 points46%+116-115-13.4%
Under 49.5 points47%+111-105-7.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Delaware spreadCoversFair
Delaware -0.534%+197
Delaware +3.543%+131
Delaware +6.551%-103
Delaware +9.558%-139
Delaware +13.568%-208
Total pointsOverUnder
42.566%34%
46.557%43%
49.549%51%
52.542%58%
56.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Delaware +3.5 wins if Delaware win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Liberty Flames vs Delaware Blue Hens?

Our prediction for Liberty Flames vs Delaware Blue Hens is Liberty Flames to win, with a 70% chance. We project Liberty Flames 27.8 and Delaware Blue Hens 21.5. Our best bet is Liberty to win at -270.

What is the projected score for Liberty Flames vs Delaware Blue Hens?

We project Liberty Flames 27.8 and Delaware Blue Hens 21.5, about 49.3 points in total.

How are Delaware Blue Hens playing?

Delaware Blue Hens have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 428 points scored and 453 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Liberty Flames playing?

Liberty Flames have 6 wins and 8 losses in their last 14 games, with 377 points scored and 352 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Delaware Blue Hens and Liberty Flames last met?

It ended Liberty Flames 59, Delaware Blue Hens 30. In the last 1 meeting Delaware Blue Hens won 0 and Liberty Flames won 1.

What is the best bet for Liberty Flames vs Delaware Blue Hens?

Liberty to win at -270, with a 70% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Delaware against Liberty. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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