Predictions › United States › Liberty Flames vs Kennesaw State Owls
College FootballThu 22 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Liberty Flames vs Kennesaw State Owls prediction

Walens Family Field at Fifth Third Stadium

Liberty FlamesAway
21.3 : 24.9
projected points
Kennesaw State OwlsHome
45%Liberty
55%Kennesaw St
Eagle safe pickUnder 56.5 points
-294

Quick answer

Our prediction for Liberty Flames vs Kennesaw State Owls is Kennesaw State Owls to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Liberty Flames 21.3 and Kennesaw State Owls 24.9. Our best bet is Under 56.5 points at -294.

Prediction
Kennesaw State Owls to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Liberty Flames 21, Kennesaw State Owls 25
Projected total
46.2 points
Best bet
Under 56.5 points at -294

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 56.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2941 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Liberty to win
40% chanceFair price +1481 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kennesaw State Owls 55% and Liberty Flames 45%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kennesaw State Owls won 1 of their last 5 and Liberty Flames won 5 of their last 5. Liberty Flames come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kennesaw State Owls won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Liberty Flames won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Kennesaw State Owls score 27.6 points a game and let in 24.0. Liberty Flames score 27.6 and let in 23.1. Their recent games average 51.6 and 50.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Kennesaw State Owls won 1 and Liberty Flames won 0. The last one ended Liberty Flames 42, Kennesaw State Owls 48.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 56.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Liberty Flames vs Kennesaw State Owls: Kennesaw State Owls shade it

The big picture

Kennesaw State Owls host Liberty Flames in the College Football on Thu 22 Oct, 19:00 at Walens Family Field at Fifth Third Stadium. Our prediction for Liberty Flames vs Kennesaw State Owls is Kennesaw State Owls to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Liberty Flames 21.3 and Kennesaw State Owls 24.9. Our best bet is Under 56.5 points at -294.

Kennesaw State Owls form

Kennesaw State Owls have 11 wins and 6 losses in their last 17 games, with 469 points scored and 408 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Liberty Flames form

Liberty Flames have 8 wins and 8 losses in their last 16 games, with 442 points scored and 369 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Kennesaw State Owls won 1, Liberty Flames won 0. Last time out it finished Liberty Flames 42, Kennesaw State Owls 48.

Our call

We expect Liberty Flames to score about 21.3 points and Kennesaw State Owls about 24.9. That points to Kennesaw State Owls to win. Our safest bet is Under 56.5 points at -294. Our bold bet is Liberty to win at +148.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

Kennesaw StLiberty
Games played1716
Wins118
Losses68
Points scored469442
Points conceded408369
Scored per game27.627.6
Conceded per game24.023.1
Home record7W 2L5W 3L
Away record4W 4L3W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Kennesaw St spreadCoversFair
Kennesaw St -10.533%+201
Kennesaw St -6.543%+134
Kennesaw St -3.550%-101
Kennesaw St -0.558%-136
Kennesaw St +3.567%-204
Total pointsOverUnder
39.566%34%
43.557%43%
46.549%51%
49.542%58%
53.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Kennesaw St +3.5 wins if Kennesaw St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Liberty Flames vs Kennesaw State Owls?

Our prediction for Liberty Flames vs Kennesaw State Owls is Kennesaw State Owls to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Liberty Flames 21.3 and Kennesaw State Owls 24.9. Our best bet is Under 56.5 points at -294.

What is the projected score for Liberty Flames vs Kennesaw State Owls?

We project Liberty Flames 21.3 and Kennesaw State Owls 24.9, about 46.2 points in total.

How are Kennesaw State Owls playing?

Kennesaw State Owls have 11 wins and 6 losses in their last 17 games, with 469 points scored and 408 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Liberty Flames playing?

Liberty Flames have 8 wins and 8 losses in their last 16 games, with 442 points scored and 369 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Kennesaw State Owls and Liberty Flames last met?

It ended Liberty Flames 42, Kennesaw State Owls 48. In the last 1 meeting Kennesaw State Owls won 1 and Liberty Flames won 0.

What is the best bet for Liberty Flames vs Kennesaw State Owls?

Under 56.5 points at -294, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kennesaw St against Liberty. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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